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Hurricane NORBERT Public Advisory Number 6A
2014-09-04 01:36:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 032336 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORBERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 500 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2014 ...NORBERT BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 109.6W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SANTA FE NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO * NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. NORBERT SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE ON THAT GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE PENINSULA ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY. SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY. THE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THESE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm NORBERT Graphics
2014-09-03 23:07:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 03 Sep 2014 20:56:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 03 Sep 2014 21:03:42 GMT
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Tropical Storm NORBERT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2014-09-03 22:59:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 032059 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 2100 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 5(28) X(28) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 19(21) 25(46) 5(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 11(13) 21(34) 5(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LA PAZ 34 2 3( 5) 16(21) 14(35) 5(40) X(40) X(40) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LORETO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 10(21) 1(22) X(22) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) CULIACAN 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) MAZATLAN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 18 14(32) 3(35) 1(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) ISLA SOCORRO 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Summary for Tropical Storm NORBERT (EP4/EP142014)
2014-09-03 22:59:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NORBERT TURNS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Sep 3 the center of NORBERT was located near 19.6, -109.2 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm NORBERT Public Advisory Number 6
2014-09-03 22:59:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 032059 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 200 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2014 ...NORBERT TURNS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 109.2W ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ MEXICO TO SAN EVARISTO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SANTA FE NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO * NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST. NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. NORBERT SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE ON THAT GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE PENINSULA ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY. SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY...AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. LARGE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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