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Tropical Storm FAY Public Advisory Number 6

2014-10-11 16:44:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST SAT OCT 11 2014 000 WTNT32 KNHC 111444 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 1100 AM AST SAT OCT 11 2014 ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS FAY A LITTLE STRONGER... ...OUTER RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO AFFECT BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.9N 65.3W ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 991 MB...29.27 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS BERMUDA. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY FAY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-FACING SHORES OF BERMUDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm FAY Forecast Advisory Number 6

2014-10-11 16:40:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014 000 WTNT22 KNHC 111440 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 1500 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 65.3W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......130NE 50SE 40SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 65.3W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 65.3W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.1N 65.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 40SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.0N 62.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.3N 58.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 65.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm FAY Graphics

2014-10-11 13:58:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 11 Oct 2014 11:58:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 11 Oct 2014 09:04:45 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm FAY (AT2/AL072014)

2014-10-11 13:56:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FAY TRANSITIONS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS BERMUDA BY THIS AFTERNOON... As of 8:00 AM AST Sat Oct 11 the center of FAY was located near 27.1, -65.2 with movement N at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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