je.st
news
Tag: arthur
Summary for Tropical Storm ARTHUR (AT1/AL012014)
2014-07-02 07:43:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ARTHUR A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD... As of 2:00 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 the center of ARTHUR was located near 28.0, -79.1 with movement N at 4 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
arthur
tropical
Tropical Storm ARTHUR Public Advisory Number 5A
2014-07-02 07:43:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM EDT WED JUL 02 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 020543 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 200 AM EDT WED JUL 02 2014 ...ARTHUR A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.0N 79.1W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ESE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM N OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FORT PIERCE TO FLAGLER BEACH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR. TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES... INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/H. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVE EAST OF THE EAST- CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY...PASS EAST OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TONIGHT...AND MOVE PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES ON THURSDAY. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY. AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL BE INVESTIGATING ARTHUR IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA TODAY. IN ADDITION...WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE OCCURRING INTERMITTENTLY ON ON GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THERE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. RAINFALL...ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS THROUGH TODAY. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY ALONG PIERS AND JETTIES. THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE COASTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TODAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
public
storm
arthur
Tropical Storm ARTHUR Graphics
2014-07-02 05:11:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2014 02:54:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2014 03:05:47 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
arthur
tropical
Tropical Storm ARTHUR Forecast Discussion Number 5
2014-07-02 04:52:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT TUE JUL 01 2014 000 WTNT41 KNHC 020252 TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 1100 PM EDT TUE JUL 01 2014 Data from the Melbourne WSR-88D radar indicates that Arthur has a complex structure this evening. A mid-level cyclonic circulation accompanied by a possible eye feature is clearly evident near 27.8N 78.8W. However, the motions of the light showers/low clouds seen in the radar data suggest that the low-level center is about 25-30 n mi west of the mid-level center. Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft are scheduled to investigate Arthur early Wednesday morning to see if the center has re-formed to the east. Pending the arrival of the aircraft, the initial intensity remains 45 kt. The initial motion is a rather uncertain 360/2. The track guidance models remain in good agreement on a large mid/upper-level trough digging southeastward into the northeastern and mid-Atlantic states during the next 72 hours, while a subtropical ridge east of the Carolinas gradually strengthens. The combination of these two systems is expected steer Arthur generally northward for 24 hours or so, followed by a turn toward the northeast and gradual acceleration. The combination of the lack of motion over the past 6-12 hours and the slightly more eastward initial position have resulted in some eastward shift of the track guidance envelope. As a result, the new forecast track is also shifted slightly to the east from the previous forecast. The official forecast is near the center of the track guidance envelope and remains close to the various consensus models. Arthur is expected to be in an environment of light northwesterly vertical wind shear for the next 60-72 hours. This should allow for continued development. However, satellite total precipitable water data suggests that pockets of dry air remain near the cyclone, and these could hinder development. Given these competing factors, the new intensity forecast is changed little from the previous forecast and calls for Arthur to become a hurricane in about 36 hours and reach its peak intensity in about 72 hours. After that time, the cyclone should undergo extratropical transition and weaken as it merges with the mid/upper-level trough. Based on the new forecast track, additional watches and warnings are not necessary for the North Carolina and South Carolina coasts at this time. However, tropical storm or hurricane watches will likely be required for portions of these areas on Wednesday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0300Z 27.9N 79.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 02/1200Z 28.6N 79.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 03/0000Z 29.7N 79.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 03/1200Z 31.0N 78.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 04/0000Z 32.8N 77.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 05/0000Z 37.5N 72.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 06/0000Z 43.0N 64.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 07/0000Z 47.5N 57.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
storm
arthur
Summary for Tropical Storm ARTHUR (AT1/AL012014)
2014-07-02 04:52:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ARTHUR DRIFTING NORTHWARD... As of 11:00 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 the center of ARTHUR was located near 27.9, -79.2 with movement N at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
arthur
tropical
Sites : [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55] [56] [57] [58] [59] [60] [61] [62] [63] [64] [65] [66] [67] next »