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Tropical Storm Kenneth Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2017-08-20 10:39:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 200838 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 0900 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 130W 34 2 8(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 20N 130W 34 1 4( 5) 17(22) 7(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32) 20N 130W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 21(39) 1(40) X(40) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 25(39) 1(40) 25N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) 25N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 30N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Summary for Tropical Storm Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)
2017-08-20 10:38:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KENNETH EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sun Aug 20 the center of Kenneth was located near 16.0, -126.1 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Kenneth Public Advisory Number 8
2017-08-20 10:38:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Aug 20 2017 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 200838 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kenneth Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 200 AM PDT Sun Aug 20 2017 ...KENNETH EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 126.1W ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kenneth was located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 126.1 West. Kenneth is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A slower west-northwestward motion is expected today, and a turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur by late Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Kenneth is forecast to become a hurricane today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Kenneth Graphics
2017-08-20 04:38:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 02:38:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 03:31:03 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)
2017-08-20 04:31:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KENNETH FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sat Aug 19 the center of Kenneth was located near 16.2, -125.3 with movement W at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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