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Summary for Hurricane Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)
2017-08-20 22:33:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KENNETH RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING AND IS NOW NEAR CATEGORY 2 STRENGTH... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Aug 20 the center of Kenneth was located near 16.2, -128.4 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
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Hurricane Kenneth Forecast Advisory Number 10
2017-08-20 22:32:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 202032 TCMEP3 HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 128.4W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 128.4W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 127.9W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 129.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.1N 131.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.4N 132.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N 133.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.5N 135.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 27.0N 136.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 28.7N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 128.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Hurricane Kenneth Graphics
2017-08-20 16:37:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 14:37:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 15:25:48 GMT
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hurricane kenneth
Hurricane Kenneth Forecast Discussion Number 9
2017-08-20 16:32:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 20 2017 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 201432 TCDEP3 Hurricane Kenneth Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 20 2017 Kenneth is gradually strengthening. Satellite images show that the cloud pattern consists of a central dense overcast and curved bands beyond that feature, especially to the south of the center. The Dvorak classifications from TAFB and SAB were both 4.0/65 kt, and recent ADT values from CIMSS at the University of Wisconsin are about the same. Based on these data, the initial intensity is increased a little to 65 kt, making Kenneth a category 1 hurricane. The initial motion of the hurricane is the same as before, 280/13 kt. A turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected to occur on Monday as a mid-level ridge to the northeast of the system weakens. After that time, Kenneth is expected to move even slower to the north-northwest when it moves into a break in the ridge caused by a cut-off low near the southwestern United States. Overall the models are in fair agreement with this scenario, but they differ in where and when Kenneth begins to recurve. The consensus aids have been quite consistent over the past few cycles, and this forecast is largely just an update of the previous one. The environmental conditions are conducive for Kenneth to strengthen some more during the next 24 to 36 hours. After that time, however, cooler waters along the expected track and drier air should end the strengthening trend and cause weakening. In addition, the global models show a significant increase in southerly shear beginning in about 72 hours, which should aid in the weakening trend. The intensity models are in very good agreement, and little change was made to the previous forecast. Kenneth will likely become a post-tropical cyclone in 4 to 5 days when it will be over SSTs of about 23 deg C. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 16.3N 127.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 21/0000Z 16.8N 129.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 21/1200Z 17.8N 131.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 22/0000Z 19.0N 132.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 22/1200Z 20.4N 133.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 23/1200Z 23.7N 134.8W 55 KT 65 MPH 96H 24/1200Z 26.7N 136.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 120H 25/1200Z 28.0N 137.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Hurricane Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)
2017-08-20 16:31:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KENNETH IS NOW A HURRICANE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sun Aug 20 the center of Kenneth was located near 16.3, -127.4 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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hurricane kenneth
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