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Summary for Tropical Storm Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)

2017-08-23 16:35:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...KENNETH WEAKENING RAPIDLY... ...LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL SOON... As of 8:00 AM PDT Wed Aug 23 the center of Kenneth was located near 24.6, -135.1 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Kenneth Public Advisory Number 21

2017-08-23 16:35:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Wed Aug 23 2017 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 231435 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kenneth Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 800 AM PDT Wed Aug 23 2017 ...KENNETH WEAKENING RAPIDLY... ...LIKELY TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL SOON... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 135.1W ABOUT 1595 MI...2565 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kenneth was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 135.1 West. Kenneth is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general direction of motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Kenneth is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm Kenneth Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21

2017-08-23 16:35:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 231435 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 25N 135W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 30N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 30N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Kenneth Forecast Advisory Number 21

2017-08-23 16:34:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 231434 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 135.1W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 135.1W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 134.8W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.8N 135.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.1N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 28.0N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 28.6N 136.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.7N 137.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 30.7N 139.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 135.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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