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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)
2017-08-23 22:32:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KENNETH BECOMES POST-TROPICAL, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 23 the center of Kenneth was located near 25.4, -135.6 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kenneth Public Advisory Number 22
2017-08-23 22:32:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Wed Aug 23 2017 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 232032 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Kenneth Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 200 PM PDT Wed Aug 23 2017 ...KENNETH BECOMES POST-TROPICAL, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 135.6W ABOUT 1625 MI...2615 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Kenneth was located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 135.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general direction of motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kenneth Forecast Advisory Number 22
2017-08-23 22:32:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 23 2017 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 232032 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 2100 UTC WED AUG 23 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 135.6W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 135.6W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 135.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.4N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.5N 136.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 28.1N 136.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 28.7N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 31.2N 139.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 135.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Storm Kenneth Graphics
2017-08-23 16:40:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 23 Aug 2017 14:40:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 23 Aug 2017 15:34:07 GMT
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Tropical Storm Kenneth Forecast Discussion Number 21
2017-08-23 16:36:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Wed Aug 23 2017 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 231435 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Kenneth Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 800 AM PDT Wed Aug 23 2017 Practically all of Kenneth's deep convection has dissipated while the system traverses SSTs near 23 deg C. Using a blend of subjective and objective Dvorak intensity estimates yields a current intensity of 35 kt. The cyclone is likely to continue to weaken due to cool waters and strong south-southwesterly shear associated with a broad upper-level trough to its west. Kenneth should become a post-tropical cyclone in 12 to 24 hours or sooner. The latest center fixes indicate that the motion has bent a little to the left and is now around 330/10 kt. Kenneth or the post- tropical cyclone should continue to move through a break in the subtropical ridge on a generally north-northwestward heading with some deceleration over the next couple of days. Later in the forecast period, when the cyclone is likely to be very weak and shallow, a turn toward the northwest is expected following the low-level flow. The official track forecast is close to the latest HFIP Corrected Consensus prediction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 24.6N 135.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 24/0000Z 25.8N 135.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 24/1200Z 27.1N 136.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 25/0000Z 28.0N 136.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 25/1200Z 28.6N 136.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 26/1200Z 29.7N 137.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 27/1200Z 30.7N 139.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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