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Summary for Tropical Depression Eugene (EP5/EP052017)
2017-07-12 16:51:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...EUGENE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 8:00 AM PDT Wed Jul 12 the center of Eugene was located near 23.6, -121.8 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Eugene Public Advisory Number 20
2017-07-12 16:51:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Wed Jul 12 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 121450 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eugene Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052017 800 AM PDT Wed Jul 12 2017 ...EUGENE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.6N 121.8W ABOUT 510 MI...815 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eugene was located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 121.8 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Eugene is expected to become a remnant low by tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Eugene are affecting portions of the west coast of northern Baja California peninsula and southern California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Tropical Depression Eugene Forecast Advisory Number 20
2017-07-12 16:50:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 12 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 121450 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 1500 UTC WED JUL 12 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 121.8W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 121.8W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.4N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.5N 123.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.4N 124.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 27.3N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 28.5N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 121.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Tropical Storm Eugene Graphics
2017-07-12 10:44:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 12 Jul 2017 08:44:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 12 Jul 2017 08:44:19 GMT
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Tropical Storm Eugene Forecast Discussion Number 19
2017-07-12 10:39:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Wed Jul 12 2017 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 120839 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Eugene Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052017 200 AM PDT Wed Jul 12 2017 Eugene is producing minimal deep convection, with only a small patch of cloud tops colder than -50 deg C north of the center. An ASCAT pass at 0453 UTC indicated that the cyclone was still producing 35-40 kt winds at the time. Since Eugene is now over sea surface temperatures of 22-23 deg C and the circulation continues to spin down, the advisory intensity is set at 35 kt. Significant deep convection is unlikely to return given the cold ocean, and Eugene is therefore expected to degenerate into a remnant low later today. Maximum winds will also continue to decrease over the next few days, and the circulation should dissipate by day 4. Eugene is maintaining a northwestward motion of 320/8 kt, steered by low- to mid-level high pressure located over the Baja California peninsula. This ridging is expected to strengthen and shift westward over the next few days, which should cause the remnant circulation of Eugene to bend a little more to the west before dissipation. The updated NHC track forecast is very close to the TVCN multi-model consensus and not too different from the previous forecast. Swells generated by Eugene will continue to affect the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and southern California during the next day or two, causing dangerous surf and rip current conditions. Please refer to statements issued by your local weather office for additional information. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/0900Z 22.9N 121.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 12/1800Z 23.8N 121.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/0600Z 24.8N 123.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/1800Z 25.8N 124.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 14/0600Z 26.7N 125.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/0600Z 28.0N 127.5W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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