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Hurricane Eugene Graphics
2017-07-10 16:56:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 10 Jul 2017 14:56:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 10 Jul 2017 14:56:09 GMT
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Hurricane Eugene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2017-07-10 16:51:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 10 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 101451 PWSEP5 HURRICANE EUGENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 1500 UTC MON JUL 10 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EUGENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 4 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 25N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 11(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 30N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Summary for Hurricane Eugene (EP5/EP052017)
2017-07-10 16:51:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...EUGENE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES PARALLEL TO BAJA CALIFORNIA... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... As of 8:00 AM PDT Mon Jul 10 the center of Eugene was located near 18.7, -117.2 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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Hurricane Eugene Public Advisory Number 12
2017-07-10 16:51:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Mon Jul 10 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 101451 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Eugene Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052017 800 AM PDT Mon Jul 10 2017 ...EUGENE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES PARALLEL TO BAJA CALIFORNIA... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 117.2W ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 640 MI...1035 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Eugene was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 117.2 West. Eugene is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have dropped to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Eugene is expected to become a tropical storm by Tuesday and a remnant low by Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Eugene are affecting portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and will spread northward to portions of southern California by tonight and Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Hurricane Eugene Forecast Advisory Number 12
2017-07-10 16:50:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 10 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 101450 TCMEP5 HURRICANE EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 1500 UTC MON JUL 10 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 117.2W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 117.2W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 116.9W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.0N 118.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.9N 120.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 24.1N 120.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.4N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 27.9N 123.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 29.5N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 117.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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