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Summary for Tropical Storm Eugene (EP5/EP052017)

2017-07-11 04:34:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...EUGENE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... As of 8:00 PM PDT Mon Jul 10 the center of Eugene was located near 20.2, -118.2 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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Tropical Storm Eugene Public Advisory Number 14

2017-07-11 04:34:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Mon Jul 10 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 110234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Eugene Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052017 800 PM PDT Mon Jul 10 2017 ...EUGENE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 118.2W ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eugene was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 118.2 West. Eugene is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Eugene should degenerate into a remnant low by Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Eugene are affecting portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and will spread northward to portions of southern California by tonight and Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm Eugene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2017-07-11 04:34:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 11 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 110234 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 0300 UTC TUE JUL 11 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EUGENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 25N 120W 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Eugene Forecast Advisory Number 14

2017-07-11 04:34:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 11 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 110234 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 0300 UTC TUE JUL 11 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 118.2W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 118.2W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 118.0W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.3N 119.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.6N 120.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.8N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.9N 122.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.8N 124.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 28.0N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 118.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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