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Hurricane Nate Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics

2017-10-07 05:28:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 03:28:01 GMT

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Hurricane Nate Graphics

2017-10-07 05:01:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 03:01:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 03:24:07 GMT

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Hurricane Nate Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

2017-10-07 04:56:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 02:56:30 GMT

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Tropical Storm Nate Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2017-10-07 04:56:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 070255 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017 0300 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 10(10) 11(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) ST MARKS FL 34 X 10(10) 10(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) APALACHICOLA 34 X 16(16) 12(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 14(18) 7(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 22(22) 20(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 2( 2) 24(26) 12(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 31(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 8( 8) 47(55) 17(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 34(34) 47(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) WHITING FLD FL 50 X 2( 2) 32(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 40(40) 45(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) PENSACOLA FL 50 X 4( 4) 36(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 66(70) 8(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X 39(39) 56(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) MOBILE AL 50 X 4( 4) 70(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) 29(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GULFPORT MS 34 X 43(43) 44(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) GULFPORT MS 50 X 6( 6) 57(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) GULFPORT MS 64 X 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) STENNIS MS 34 X 33(33) 38(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) STENNIS MS 50 X 5( 5) 33(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) STENNIS MS 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BURAS LA 34 2 61(63) 20(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) BURAS LA 50 X 28(28) 29(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) BURAS LA 64 X 6( 6) 14(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) GFMX 280N 890W 34 4 94(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 90(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X 48(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) JACKSON MS 34 X 7( 7) 12(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 22(22) 24(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 910W 34 3 18(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 9( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 12(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FORT POLK LA 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAMERON LA 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JASPER TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HAVANA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Summary for Tropical Storm Nate (AT1/AL162017)

2017-10-07 04:55:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NATE ALMOST A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO... As of 10:00 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 the center of Nate was located near 22.3, -86.4 with movement NNW at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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