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Hurricane Nate Graphics
2017-10-07 17:00:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 15:00:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 15:23:50 GMT
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Hurricane Nate Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
2017-10-07 16:56:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 14:56:08 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Nate (AT1/AL162017)
2017-10-07 16:55:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NATE STRENGTHENING AND NOW EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... As of 10:00 AM CDT Sat Oct 7 the center of Nate was located near 26.6, -88.4 with movement NNW at 26 mph. The minimum central pressure was 984 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Hurricane Nate Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2017-10-07 16:55:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 071454 PWSAT1 HURRICANE NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017 1500 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS ...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) AUGUSTA ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORTLAND ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CONCORD NH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORTSMOUTH NH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WORCESTER MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SPRINGFIELD MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HARTFORD CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 X 6( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ST MARKS FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) APALACHICOLA 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 7(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) COLUMBUS GA 34 2 10(12) 7(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 1 28(29) 42(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) MONTGOMERY AL 34 3 41(44) 12(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WHITING FLD FL 34 24 48(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) WHITING FLD FL 50 2 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) WHITING FLD FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PENSACOLA FL 34 49 32(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) PENSACOLA FL 50 2 13(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PENSACOLA FL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 34 75 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) GFMX 290N 870W 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOBILE AL 34 60 40(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 50 4 80(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) MOBILE AL 64 X 47(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) GULFPORT MS 34 69 30(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GULFPORT MS 50 6 70(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) GULFPORT MS 64 1 52(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) STENNIS MS 34 48 42(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) STENNIS MS 50 3 27(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) STENNIS MS 64 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BURAS LA 34 90 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) BURAS LA 50 21 13(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) BURAS LA 64 6 8(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 50 53 X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) GFMX 280N 890W 64 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) JACKSON MS 34 3 16(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 16 36(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MORGAN CITY LA 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAFAYETTE LA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAMERON LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JASPER TX 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Hurricane Nate Public Advisory Number 13
2017-10-07 16:55:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 071454 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Nate Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017 1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017 ...NATE STRENGTHENING AND NOW EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 88.4W ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect east of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border * Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Morgan City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida * Northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lake Maurepas * West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana * East of the Alabama/Florida border to Indian Pass Florida A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Lake Maurepas * East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line * West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * East of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nate was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 88.4 West. Nate is moving rapidly toward the north-northwest near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through this evening. A turn toward the north is forecast tonight, followed by a turn toward the northeast. On the forecast track, the center of Nate will move across the northern Gulf of Mexico today and will make landfall along the central U.S. Gulf Coast tonight. Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected before landfall, and Nate is forecast to be a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale when the center reaches the Gulf Coast. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km), primarily to the east of the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Along the northern Gulf Coast, hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area this evening and tonight, with tropical storm conditions expected to begin during the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area tonight and Sunday. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area tonight and tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch area tonight and Sunday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Mississippi/Alabama border...7 to 11 ft Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border, including Mobile Bay...6 to 9 ft Morgan City, Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi River...4 to 6 ft Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line...4 to 6 ft Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass, Florida...2 to 4 ft Indian Pass to Crystal River, Florida...1 to 3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Nate is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Monday: Western Cuba: 2 to 4 inches, max 6 inches. Cayman Islands: 1 to 3 inches. East of the Mississippi River from the central Gulf Coast into the Deep South, eastern Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians: 3 to 6 inches, max 10 inches. Across the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians: 2 to 4 inches, max 6 inches. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes will be possible beginning late this afternoon over parts of the central Gulf Coast region. SURF: Swells generated by Nate will affect land areas around the Gulf of Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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