je.st
news
Tag: nate
Hurricane Nate Graphics
2017-10-07 11:04:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 09:04:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 09:25:32 GMT
Tags: graphics
hurricane
nate
hurricane graphics
Hurricane Nate Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
2017-10-07 10:58:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sat, 07 Oct 2017 08:58:05 GMT
Tags: map
storm
hurricane
surge
Hurricane Nate Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2017-10-07 10:58:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 070857 PWSAT1 HURRICANE NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017 0900 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTLAND ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORTSMOUTH NH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ST MARKS FL 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) APALACHICOLA 34 4 9(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 21(25) 4(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 9( 9) 18(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 9( 9) 52(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 24(24) 45(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WHITING FLD FL 34 3 69(72) 9(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) WHITING FLD FL 50 X 17(17) 9(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) WHITING FLD FL 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PENSACOLA FL 34 4 75(79) 5(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) PENSACOLA FL 50 X 23(23) 7(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) PENSACOLA FL 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 870W 34 40 42(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) GFMX 290N 870W 50 2 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOBILE AL 34 3 95(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 50 X 68(68) 14(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) MOBILE AL 64 X 32(32) 10(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) GULFPORT MS 34 3 92(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) GULFPORT MS 50 X 71(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) GULFPORT MS 64 X 49(49) 4(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) STENNIS MS 34 3 83(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) STENNIS MS 50 X 45(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) STENNIS MS 64 X 28(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BURAS LA 34 4 83(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) BURAS LA 50 X 39(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) BURAS LA 64 X 29(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GFMX 280N 890W 34 58 38(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GFMX 280N 890W 50 4 44(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) GFMX 280N 890W 64 1 40(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) JACKSON MS 34 X 17(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) JACKSON MS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 3 57(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 910W 34 3 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 18(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 15(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LAFAYETTE LA 34 2 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LAKE CHARLES 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAMERON LA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JASPER TX 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Hurricane Nate Forecast Discussion Number 12
2017-10-07 10:58:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017 000 WTNT41 KNHC 070857 TCDAT1 Hurricane Nate Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017 An Air Force reconnaissance plane investigated Nate a couple of hours ago and measured peak flight-level winds of 89 kt at 850 mb to the east of the center. No hurricane force winds were reported west of the center. The SFMR winds from that mission yielded an initial intensity of 70 kt. Since the plane left, the satellite presentation has changed little, so the winds remains with the same value in this advisory. Another reconnaissance plane is currently approaching Nate. The outflow is well established suggesting that the shear is low, while the atmospheric conditions favor some additional strengthening. On this basis, the NHC forecast calls for some slight increase in the winds, however, the SHIPS/LGEM models forecast Nate to be a little bit stronger just before landfall. After landfall, weakening is anticipated and Nate is forecast to dissipate in 96 hours or sooner. Nate is moving rapidly toward the north-northwest at about 19 kt. The hurricane is being steered by the flow between a large cyclonic gyre over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and a developing mid-level ridge over the western Atlantic. This pattern should continue to force Nate on a general north-northwest fast track for the next 24 hours. After that time, the hurricane will recurve northeastward with additional increase in forward speed as it encounters the mid-latitude westerlies. The NHC track forecast has not changed much from the previous one and is and is very close the HFIP corrected consensus HCCA. This model has been very skillful this season. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Life-threatening storm surge flooding is likely along portions of the northern Gulf Coast, and a storm surge warning is in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana, to the Okaloosa/Walton county line in Florida. Residents in these areas should heed any evacuation instructions given by local officials. 2. A hurricane warning is in effect for portions of the northern Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Alabama, and preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in these areas. 3. Nate will bring heavy rainfall of 3 to 6 inches with isolated totals of 10 inches east of the Mississippi River from the central Gulf Coast into the Deep South, eastern Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians through Monday, resulting in the potential for flash flooding in these areas. 4. Moisture from Nate interacting with a frontal zone will also bring 2 to 4 inches with isolated totals of 6 inches across the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians Sunday into Monday, which will also increase the risk for flash flooding across these locations. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 24.5N 87.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 07/1800Z 27.3N 88.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 08/0600Z 30.4N 88.8W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 08/1800Z 33.8N 86.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 48H 09/0600Z 37.0N 83.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 72H 10/0600Z 43.0N 70.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
hurricane
Hurricane Nate Public Advisory Number 12
2017-10-07 10:57:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017 000 WTNT31 KNHC 070857 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Nate Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017 ...HURRICANE NATE CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 87.0W ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The governments of Cuba and Mexico have discontinued all watches and warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border * Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Morgan City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida * Northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lake Maurepas * West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana * East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Lake Maurepas * East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line * West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * East of the the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass Florida * West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nate was located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 87.0 West. Nate is moving toward the north-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general fast motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north is forecast on Sunday morning, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast thereafter. On the forecast track, the center of Nate will move across the Gulf of Mexico today and will make landfall along the central U.S. Gulf coast tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible before Nate makes landfall along the northern Gulf coast. Another reconnaissance plane will investigate Nate soon. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). Cabo San Antonio in the western tip of Cuba reported gusts to 53 mph (85 km/h) a few hours ago. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Along the northern Gulf Coast, hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area tonight, with tropical storm conditions expected to begin earlier. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area tonight and tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch area tonight and Sunday. STORM SURGE: In the United States, the combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Morgan City, Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi River...4 to 6 ft Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida border...5 to 9 ft Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line...4 to 6 ft Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass, Florida...2 to 4 ft Indian Pass to Crystal River, Florida...1 to 3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Nate is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Monday: Eastern Yucatan and western Cuba: 2 to 4 inches, max 6 inches. Eastern Belize and the Cayman Islands: 1 to 3 inches. East of the Mississippi River from the central Gulf Coast into the Deep South, eastern Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians: 3 to 6 inches, max 10 inches. Across the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians: 2 to 4 inches, max 6 inches. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible beginning later today over parts of the central Gulf Coast region. SURF: Swells generated by Nate will affect land areas around the western Gulf of Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] next »