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Summary for Tropical Storm NEWTON (EP5/EP152016)
2016-09-07 13:44:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEWTON WEAKENING WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE STATE OF SONORA... As of 6:00 AM MDT Wed Sep 7 the center of NEWTON was located near 29.6, -111.6 with movement N at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm NEWTON Public Advisory Number 11A
2016-09-07 13:44:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM MDT WED SEP 07 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 071143 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 600 AM MDT WED SEP 07 2016 ...NEWTON WEAKENING WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE STATE OF SONORA... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.6N 111.6W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NW OF HERMOSILLO MEXICO ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SSW OF TUCSON ARIZONA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...90 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal watches and warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. High wind watches and wind advisories are in effect for portions of the southwestern United States. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For information in Mexico, please monitor products issued by the Meteorological Service of Mexico. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Newton was located inland over the Mexican state of Sonora near latitude 29.6 North, longitude 111.6 West. Newton is moving toward the north near 18 mph (30 km/h), and a turn toward the northeast is expected over the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center will move over extreme northwestern Mexico this morning and into southeastern Arizona this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (90 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening will continue today as the center moves farther inland, and Newton should weaken to a tropical depression later today and dissipate by early Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) mainly to the south and east of the center. An automated station well inland east of Bahia Kino reported a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) with a gust to 64 mph (103 km/h) a couple of hours ago. Hermosillo International Airport has reported a wind gust as high as 50 mph (85 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.26 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of the Mexican state of Sonora this morning, but winds should subside by this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions could spread into portions of southeastern Arizona later today. RAINFALL: Rains associated with Newton are moving away from the Baja California peninsula. Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, and possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches, over the Mexican state of Sonora. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southern New Mexico through Thursday. This heavy rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in areas of mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: Storm surge could continue in areas of onshore winds during the next few hours, but water levels are expected to diminish during the day. SURF: Swells associated with Newton over the Gulf of California will begin to subside. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm NEWTON Graphics
2016-09-07 11:10:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 07 Sep 2016 08:52:45 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 07 Sep 2016 09:04:12 GMT
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Tropical Storm NEWTON Forecast Discussion Number 11
2016-09-07 10:53:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT WED SEP 07 2016 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 070852 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM NEWTON DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 300 AM MDT WED SEP 07 2016 Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the center has made landfall in mainland Mexico a short distance southeast of Bahia Kino. The overall cloud pattern has deteriorated somewhat, with an erosion of deep convection over the northwestern quadrant of the circulation, and subjective and objective Dvorak intensity estimates are below hurricane strength. Therefore the system has been downgraded to a 60-kt tropical storm. With the center moving inland, rapid weakening will occur, however there is a possibility that Newton could bring tropical-storm-force winds to portions of extreme southeastern Arizona later today. The circulation is expected to dissipate on Thursday. The initial motion is northward, or 010/15 kt. The latest NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous one. Newton should gradually curve to the northeast as it moves between the western periphery of a mid-level high and a broad trough to the north. The official forecast follows the multi-model consensus. The main concern with this system will be heavy rainfall that will be spreading from northwestern Mexico into Arizona and New Mexico over the next day or so. These rains could cause flooding and mud slides. Consult statements from you local weather offices for possible warnings. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 28.7N 111.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 07/1800Z 31.4N 111.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 24H 08/0600Z 33.5N 108.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Summary for Tropical Storm NEWTON (EP5/EP152016)
2016-09-07 10:51:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEWTON HAS MADE LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Wed Sep 7 the center of NEWTON was located near 28.7, -111.8 with movement N at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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