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Hurricane NEWTON Forecast Advisory Number 8
2016-09-06 16:44:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 061444 TCMEP5 HURRICANE NEWTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 1500 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO SAN LAZARO TO MULEGE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS * GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS * NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA * MAZATLAN TO GUAYMAS * BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 111.1W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT.......160NE 180SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 111.1W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.5N 111.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.7N 111.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.8N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 111.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 8
2016-09-06 16:44:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 061444 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 900 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...NEWTON BATTERING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 111.1W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas * Guaymas to Bahia Kino A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Mazatlan to Guaymas * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 24.1 North, longitude 111.1 West. Newton is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north is expected by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will pass over Baja California Sur today, and emerge over the Gulf of California late this afternoon or evening. The center of Newton should reach the coast of northwestern Mexico early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to have decreased near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next 24 hours, and rapid weakening should occur once Newton moves well inland over northwestern Mexico on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: For the Baja California peninsula, hurricane and tropical storm conditions are occurring over much of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward during the remainder of the morning, and into the afternoon within the warning areas. Preparations to protect life and property should have been completed. For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by early Wednesday morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning this morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward throughout the day and into tonight. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5 to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western Nayarit, and Jalisco, and a small part of Baja California Norte through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the center on the southern Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through today, but begin to subside on Wednesday. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of California today and Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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Hurricane NEWTON Graphics
2016-09-06 15:03:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 13:03:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 09:05:48 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane NEWTON (EP5/EP152016)
2016-09-06 13:43:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...EYE OF NEWTON OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...NEWTON POUNDING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... As of 6:00 AM MDT Tue Sep 6 the center of NEWTON was located near 23.5, -110.4 with movement NNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 979 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
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Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 7A
2016-09-06 13:43:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 061143 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 600 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...EYE OF NEWTON OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...NEWTON POUNDING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 110.4W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSE OF LORETO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas * Guaymas to Bahia Kino A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Mazatlan to Guaymas * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 110.4 West. Newton is moving toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward north is expected by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will continue to pass over Baja California Sur early today and emerge in the Gulf of California this afternoon. The center of Newton is forecast to reach northwestern Mexico early Wednesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next 24 hours. However, Newton is still expected to be a hurricane when it makes a second landfall along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico early Wednesday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). A Mexican automated station located at San Lucas reported maximum sustained winds of 78 mph (125 km/h) with gusts to 116 mph (187 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). A Storm Chaser in downtown Cabo San Lucas reported a pressure of 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are occurring over much of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward through this morning within the warning areas. Preparations to protect life and property should have been completed. For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area by early Wednesday morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning this morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward throughout the day and into tonight. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5 to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western Nayarit, and Jalisco, and a small part of Baja California Norte through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall on both the southern Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through today, but begin to subside on Wednesday. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of California today and Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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