je.st
news
Tag: newton
Summary for Hurricane NEWTON (EP5/EP152016)
2016-09-07 01:37:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CENTER OF NEWTON MOVING NEAR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO... As of 6:00 PM MDT Tue Sep 6 the center of NEWTON was located near 26.3, -111.7 with movement NNW at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Tags: summary
newton
hurricane
ep5ep152016
Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 9A
2016-09-07 01:37:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 062336 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 600 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...CENTER OF NEWTON MOVING NEAR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 111.7W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF MULEGE MEXICO ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to Santa Fe * La Paz to Mulege * Guaymas to Puerto Libertad A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Altata to Guaymas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. In the southwestern United States, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office for information on possible heavy rains, flooding, and high winds. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 26.3 North, longitude 111.7 West. Newton is moving toward the north-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected tonight, and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will emerge over the Gulf of California within the next few hours. The center of Newton should reach the coast of northwestern Mexico in the hurricane warning area early Wednesday, move inland over northwestern Mexico, and then move into southeastern Arizona by Wednesday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall in northwestern Mexico, followed by rapid weakening thereafter. Newton is expected to weaken to a tropical storm on Wednesday and dissipate by Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). An automated station in Loreto, Mexico, recently reported a sustained wind of 48 mph (77 km/h) and a wind gust of 89 mph (144 km/h). A wind gust of 40 mph (65 km/h) was recently reported at the Los Mochis airport in the state of Sinaloa. The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: For the Baja California peninsula, tropical storm and hurricane conditions continue to occur over much of the warned area of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward during the remainder of today within the warning areas. For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by early Wednesday morning, and preparations to protect life and property should have been completed. Tropical storm conditions are beginning over northwestern Mexico within the warning area, and these conditions will gradually spread northward tonight. Tropical storm conditions could spread into portions of southeastern Arizona by Wednesday afternoon. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5 to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western Nayarit, and Jalisco through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona to southwestern and south-central New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the track of the center within the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Elsewhere, elevated water levels are expected in areas of onshore wind. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight, but will begin to subside on Wednesday. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of California tonight and Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
advisory
newton
Hurricane NEWTON Graphics
2016-09-06 22:54:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 20:54:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Sep 2016 20:44:35 GMT
Tags: graphics
newton
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane NEWTON Forecast Discussion Number 9
2016-09-06 22:45:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 062044 TCDEP5 HURRICANE NEWTON DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 300 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 The cloud pattern of Newton has continued to decay since the last advisory, with a continued warming of the cloud tops near the center. There has been no data close enough to the center to help determine the intensity, so based on a satellite intensity estimate from TAFB and the observed decay the intensity is reduced to a possibly generous 65 kt. The initial motion is 345/16. Newton is being steered around the western periphery of a mid-level ridge over the lower Mississippi Valley of the United States. It should turn northward later tonight as it become embedded in the flow between the ridge and a mid- to upper-level trough over the western United States. The northward motion should continue through dissipation well inland. The new forecast track is again similar to, but slightly faster than, the previous track and lies near the multi-model consensus. Little change in strength is expected as the center of Newton crosses portions of Baja California Sur and the Gulf of California during the next 12 hours, and the cyclone is forecast to be a hurricane at landfall in northwestern mainland Mexico. Weakening is expected after landfall, and the circulation of Newton is expected to dissipate over Arizona and New Mexico between 36-48 hours. The new NHC forecast is similar to the previous one, and it indicates that Newton could reach southeastern Arizona before weakening below tropical-storm strength. Newton continues to be a large tropical cyclone, and hazards extend well away from the center. These hazards will affect a large portion of Baja California Sur, northwestern Mexico, and southeastern Arizona during the next day or so. Moisture associated with the remnants of Newton are likely to cause heavy rains and localized flash flooding over parts of Arizona and New Mexico Wednesday and Thursday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/2100Z 25.8N 111.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND 12H 07/0600Z 28.2N 111.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WATER 24H 07/1800Z 31.5N 111.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 36H 08/0600Z 34.2N 110.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
newton
Hurricane NEWTON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2016-09-06 22:44:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 062044 PWSEP5 HURRICANE NEWTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 2100 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEWTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YUMA AZ 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P ABREOJOS 34 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 64 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) P PENASCO 34 3 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HERMOSILLO 34 75 18(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) HERMOSILLO 50 1 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) HERMOSILLO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BAHIA KINO 34 82 5(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) BAHIA KINO 50 33 33(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) BAHIA KINO 64 3 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GUAYMAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GUAYMAS 50 29 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GUAYMAS 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HUATABAMPO 34 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) LOS MOCHIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CULIACAN 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
speed
wind
newton
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] next »