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Tropical Storm EARL Forecast Advisory Number 16

2016-08-06 10:33:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 06 2016 000 WTNT25 KNHC 060832 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 0900 UTC SAT AUG 06 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ROCA PARTIDO NORTHWARD TO TECOLUTLA...MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 97.0W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 97.0W AT 06/0900Z...INLAND AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 96.5W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.0N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 97.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm EARL Graphics

2016-08-06 07:51:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Aug 2016 05:51:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Aug 2016 03:04:35 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm EARL (AT5/AL052016)

2016-08-06 07:45:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...EARL MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MAINLAND MEXICO... ...TORRENTIAL RAINS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... As of 1:00 AM CDT Sat Aug 6 the center of EARL was located near 19.0, -96.5 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm EARL Public Advisory Number 15A

2016-08-06 07:45:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 060545 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 100 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 ...EARL MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MAINLAND MEXICO... ...TORRENTIAL RAINS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 96.5W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Roca Partido northward to Tecolutla, Mexico. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 96.5 West. Earl is moving toward the west near 9 mph (14 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. On the forecast track, Earl will continue to move inland throughout the day on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (80 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected as the center of Earl moves farther inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km), mainly to the northeast of the center. An automated station at Sacrifice Island, Mexico recently reported a gust of 40 mph (64 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue across the warning area tonight and early Saturday morning. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts 18 inches over portions of the Mexican states of Veracruz, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, Guerrero, Puebla, Tabasco, and Campeche through Saturday night. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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