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Remnants of EARL Forecast Discussion Number 17
2016-08-06 16:32:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 000 WTNT45 KNHC 061432 TCDAT5 REMNANTS OF EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 1000 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 The circulation of Earl has become disrupted by the high terrain of Mexico, and since the cyclone no longer has a well-defined surface circulation, it is declared dissipated. The remnants, however, should continue to move westward and interact with an area of disturbed weather along the Pacific coast of Mexico, which could lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone in that area in about 2 to 3 days. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Earl. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/1500Z 19.0N 98.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Summary for Remnants of EARL (AT5/AL052016)
2016-08-06 16:31:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EARL DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Sat Aug 6 the center of EARL was located near 19.0, -98.0 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression EARL Graphics
2016-08-06 13:32:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Aug 2016 11:32:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Aug 2016 09:04:36 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression EARL (AT5/AL052016)
2016-08-06 13:31:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EARL EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO LATER TODAY... As of 7:00 AM CDT Sat Aug 6 the center of EARL was located near 19.0, -97.5 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression EARL Public Advisory Number 16A
2016-08-06 13:31:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 061131 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 700 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 ...EARL EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 97.5W ABOUT 100 MI...145 KM W OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Earl was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 97.5 West. Earl is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast as Earl moves into the mountains of Mexico, and the cyclone is forecast to dissipate later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts 18 inches over portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, Puebla, Tlaxcala and Veracruz through tonight. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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