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Tropical Storm Paul Public Advisory Number 6
2018-09-09 22:31:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Sep 09 2018 175 WTPZ33 KNHC 092031 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paul Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182018 200 PM PDT Sun Sep 09 2018 ...PAUL SLIGHTLY STRONGER BUT LITTLE FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.5N 118.7W ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paul was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 118.7 West. Paul is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion will likely continue for the next couple of days, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest by the middle of the week. Maximum sustained winds are now estimated to be 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast for the next day or so. Gradual weakening is expected to begin by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Paul Forecast Advisory Number 6
2018-09-09 22:31:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 174 WTPZ23 KNHC 092031 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 118.7W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 118.7W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 118.5W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.5N 119.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.5N 120.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.4N 122.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.9N 124.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.8N 127.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 23.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 23.5N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 118.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Paul Graphics
2018-09-09 16:43:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 09 Sep 2018 14:43:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 09 Sep 2018 14:43:53 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Paul (EP3/EP182018)
2018-09-09 16:42:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...PAUL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sun Sep 9 the center of Paul was located near 17.9, -118.1 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Paul Public Advisory Number 5
2018-09-09 16:42:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Sep 09 2018 215 WTPZ33 KNHC 091442 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paul Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182018 800 AM PDT Sun Sep 09 2018 ...PAUL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 118.1W ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paul was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 118.1 West. Paul is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h,) and this motion is expected to continue for another day or two. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected to occur by late Monday or Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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