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Tropical Storm Theta Public Advisory Number 13
2020-11-13 03:49:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 AM GMT Fri Nov 13 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 130249 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Theta Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020 300 AM GMT Fri Nov 13 2020 ...THETA SLIGHTLY WEAKER AS IT CONTINUES EASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.7N 26.0W ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM S OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Theta was located near latitude 31.7 North, longitude 26.0 West. Theta is moving toward the east near 12 mph (19 km/h). The tropical storm is forecast to gradually turn toward the east-southeast and slow its forward speed by tomorrow night. A continued slow east-southeastward motion is then expected through the end of the week. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 h. Weakening is expected over the weekend, and Theta is forecast to become a remnant low by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Theta Forecast Advisory Number 13
2020-11-13 03:48:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 130248 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0300 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 26.0W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 140SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 330SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 26.0W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 26.5W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.7N 24.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.4N 22.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.0N 20.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.8N 19.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.8N 18.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.2N 18.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 34.3N 18.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 26.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm Eta Graphics
2020-11-13 03:45:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Nov 2020 02:45:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Nov 2020 02:45:50 GMT
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Tropical Storm Eta Forecast Discussion Number 51
2020-11-13 03:44:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 130244 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Eta Discussion Number 51 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 1000 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020 Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the circulation of Eta is becoming stretched as it interacts with a frontal boundary just to its west. Deep convection is mostly confined to the northern side of the system and in patches associated with its trailing trough. Since buoy 41004 off the South Carolina coast recently reported sustained winds of 37 kt, the initial intensity is nudged up to 40 kt for this advisory. The models show the circulation of Eta continuing to lose definition overnight, and it is possible that the tropical storm will open up into a trough soon. Whatever is left of Eta will merge with the nearby front on Friday, causing it to transition into an extratropical cyclone. The non-tropical low is then forecast to dissipate on Saturday over the north Atlantic. Eta, or its remnants, will likely strengthen slightly before it dissipates on Saturday due to the predicted faster forward speed and baroclinic influences. Eta is moving northeastward at 15 kt. An even faster motion to the northeast is expected until the cyclone dissipates as it moves in the flow ahead of a deep-layer trough. This should take Eta, or its remnants, gradually away from the southeast U.S. coast. Deep-layer moisture partly associated with Eta has spread northward along a frontal boundary across eastern North Carolina and just offshore of the Mid-Atlantic coast. See products from the NOAA Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service office for additional information. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 32.3N 79.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 13/1200Z 33.6N 76.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 14/0000Z 36.1N 70.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 14/1200Z 39.3N 62.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Tropical Storm Eta (AT4/AL292020)
2020-11-13 03:43:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF ETA JUST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS... As of 10:00 PM EST Thu Nov 12 the center of Eta was located near 32.3, -79.0 with movement NE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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