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Tropical Storm Theta Public Advisory Number 17
2020-11-14 03:35:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 AM GMT Sat Nov 14 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 140235 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Theta Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020 300 AM GMT Sat Nov 14 2020 ...THETA BEGINS WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 21.6W ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SE OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Theta was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 21.6 West. Theta is moving toward the east near 10 mph (17 km/h). An eastward or east-southeastward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday, followed by a sharp northward turn Sunday night into early next week. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Theta is expected to become a remnant low by late Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Theta Forecast Advisory Number 17
2020-11-14 03:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 140234 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 21.6W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 420SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 21.6W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 22.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.8N 20.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.6N 18.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.7N 17.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.3N 17.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.9N 16.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 21.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/CANGIALOSI
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-11-14 00:13:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132313 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Fri Nov 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to increase in coverage and organization near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week as the system moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-11-14 00:11:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 132311 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Theta, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Iota, located over the central Caribbean Sea. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Iota are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Iota are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Iota Graphics
2020-11-13 21:46:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Nov 2020 20:46:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Nov 2020 21:32:00 GMT
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