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Tropical Depression Norbert Public Advisory Number 15
2020-10-09 10:38:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 090837 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Norbert Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 300 AM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 ...WEAKLY NORBERT STRUGGLING WITH WIND SHEAR... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 106.0W ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Norbert was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 106.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 1 mph (2 km/h), and this general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Norbert is expected to become a remnant low by Saturday and dissipate by Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Advisory Number 15
2020-10-09 10:37:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 090837 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.0W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.0W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 105.9W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.4N 106.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.9N 106.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.4N 107.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.7N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/ZELINSKY
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-09 07:14:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 090514 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Norbert, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized as dry mid-level air surrounds a small low pressure system located around 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only somewhat conducive for development, but a tropical depression could still form while the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at about 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A weak, broad area of low pressure located about 750 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is unlikely as it drifts toward the southeast or east during the next couple of days. This system is then forecast to dissipate near Tropical Depression Norbert early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-09 07:13:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 090513 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Delta, located over the west-central Gulf of Mexico. A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. The wave is expected to move generally westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual development of the system this weekend or early next week while it is located over the tropical Atlantic, well east of the Lesser Antilles. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Norbert Graphics
2020-10-09 04:43:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 09 Oct 2020 02:43:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 09 Oct 2020 02:43:35 GMT
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