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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-10 01:43:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 092343 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly-formed Tropical Storm Fay, located about 70 miles northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next five days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fay are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fay are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-10 01:42:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 092342 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Jul 9 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Cristina, located just south of Socorro Island. A strong tropical wave over central America is expected to move over the far eastern Pacific by the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression will likely form early next week while the system moves quickly westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Summary for Tropical Storm Fay (AT1/AL062020)
2020-07-10 01:41:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FAY MOVING NORTHWARD EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... As of 8:00 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 the center of Fay was located near 36.0, -74.8 with movement N at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 1A
2020-07-10 01:41:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020 874 WTNT31 KNHC 092341 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 800 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020 ...FAY MOVING NORTHWARD EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.0N 74.8W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cape May New Jersey to Watch Hill Rhode Island including Long Island and Long Island Sound A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 74.8 West. Fay is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A northward to north- northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fay is forecast to move near the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday, and move inland over the northeast United States on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is forecast tonight and Friday. Weakening should begin after the center moves inland on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) primarily to the east and southeast of the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by reconnaissance aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Fay can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC. RAINFALL: Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain along and near the track of Fay across the mid-Atlantic states into southeast New York and southern New England. These rains may result in flash flooding where the heaviest amounts occur. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area on Friday and spread northward through the warning area Friday night. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Fay Graphics
2020-07-10 00:07:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 09 Jul 2020 22:07:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 09 Jul 2020 22:07:04 GMT
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