je.st
news
Tag: tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-25 07:37:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 250537 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E, located more than 1800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is becoming less likely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression within the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Gradual development of this system is possible over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-25 07:12:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 250511 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Tropical Depression Three-E Graphics
2020-06-25 04:36:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 25 Jun 2020 02:36:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 25 Jun 2020 03:24:38 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Three-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-06-25 04:35:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM HST Wed Jun 24 2020 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 250234 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Three-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032020 500 PM HST Wed Jun 24 2020 There has been little change in the organization of the depression since the previous advisory. Deep convection that was located over the southern portion of the circulation waned during the early afternoon, but a new convective burst has developed within the past couple of hours to the south of the exposed low-level center. The intensity has been held at 30 kt, and is based on the earlier ASCAT data and the most recent Dvorak CI numbers from TAFB and SAB. Although the depression is moving over warm waters and within an area of low wind shear, water vapor imagery indicates that mid-level dry air is located near and just north of the cyclone which is likely the cause of the lack of convection over the northern portion of the circulation. As a result, only modest strengthening is anticipated over the next 24 to 36 hours. After that time, dry air and gradually decreasing SSTs along the forecast track are likely to cause weakening. The latest intensity guidance is slightly lower than the previous cycle, and the NHC intensity forecast has been adjusted accordingly. The new official intensity forecast is in best agreement with the latest HFIP corrected consensus aid. The depression has been moving more westward than expected, with an initial motion estimate of 285/8 kt. A cut-off low well to the north-northwest of the depression is expected to weaken the deep-layer ridge that is currently steering the cyclone. This should cause the depression to turn northwestward on Thursday, with this motion continuing over the next couple of days. By 60-72 h, the weakening tropical cyclone should turn back toward the west as it is steered by the low-level flow. Later in the period, the remnant low is forecast to turn west-southwestward within the trade wind flow over the central Pacific. The latest track model envelope has shifted somewhat southward, which has required a southward adjustment to the official forecast. The new NHC forecast lies between the previous advisory and the latest consensus aids, along the northern portion of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 10.6N 134.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 10.9N 135.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 26/0000Z 11.4N 136.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 26/1200Z 12.1N 137.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 27/0000Z 12.5N 138.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 27/1200Z 12.7N 139.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 28/0000Z 12.8N 141.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/0000Z 12.5N 145.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 30/0000Z 11.5N 149.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Three-E (EP3/EP032020)
2020-06-25 04:34:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR THURSDAY... As of 5:00 PM HST Wed Jun 24 the center of Three-E was located near 10.6, -134.7 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Sites : [2130] [2131] [2132] [2133] [2134] [2135] [2136] [2137] [2138] [2139] [2140] [2141] [2142] [2143] [2144] [2145] [2146] [2147] [2148] [2149] next »