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Tropical Storm Dolly Public Advisory Number 6
2020-06-23 22:32:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Jun 23 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 232032 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042020 500 PM AST Tue Jun 23 2020 ...DOLLY BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE GULF STREAM CURRENT... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.1N 61.1W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolly was located near latitude 40.1 North, longitude 61.1 West. Dolly is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast as Dolly moves over colder waters, and the system is expected to become post-tropical on Wednesday. The remnant low should then dissipate by early Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) to the south of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Dolly Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-06-23 22:32:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 23 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 232032 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042020 2100 UTC TUE JUN 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.1N 61.1W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 100SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.1N 61.1W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.8N 61.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 41.2N 59.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 43.1N 56.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 45.0N 53.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.1N 61.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-23 19:20:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231720 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A nearly stationary area of low pressure is located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased since yesterday, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development over the next couple of days, but the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler waters after that time which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-23 19:15:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 231715 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories recently upgraded Tropical Storm Dolly, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Nova Scotia. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Dolly Graphics
2020-06-23 18:41:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 23 Jun 2020 16:41:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 23 Jun 2020 16:41:13 GMT
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