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Tropical Depression Dolly Public Advisory Number 8
2020-06-24 10:31:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Jun 24 2020 164 WTNT34 KNHC 240831 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Dolly Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042020 500 AM AST Wed Jun 24 2020 ...DOLLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.7N 59.0W ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Dolly was located near latitude 41.7 North, longitude 59.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast as Dolly moves over colder waters, and the system is expected to become post-tropical later today. The remnant low should then dissipate on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Dolly Forecast Advisory Number 8
2020-06-24 10:30:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 24 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 240830 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042020 0900 UTC WED JUN 24 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 59.0W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 100SE 110SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 59.0W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 59.6W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 43.1N 57.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 45.1N 53.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N 59.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-24 07:24:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 240524 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have increased during the past several hours in association with a small area of low pressure located about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to support further thunderstorm activity, and the low is likely to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves slowly toward the west or west-northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a wide area of disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible during the next day or two while the system moves westward at about 15 mph before it moves over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Gradual development of this system will be possible over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-24 07:05:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
720 ABNT20 KNHC 240505 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Jun 24 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly, located several hundred miles southwest of Newfoundland. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Summary for Tropical Storm Dolly (AT4/AL042020)
2020-06-24 04:50:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DOLLY LIKELY TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON WEDNESDAY... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Jun 23 the center of Dolly was located near 40.5, -60.3 with movement ENE at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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