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Summary for Tropical Storm Rose (AT2/AL172021)

2021-09-21 22:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ROSE HOLDING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM.... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Sep 21 the center of Rose was located near 22.5, -37.7 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 11

2021-09-21 22:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 212036 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...ROSE HOLDING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM.... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 37.7W ABOUT 1000 MI...1605 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 37.7 West. Rose is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). The storm should gradually turn toward the north during the next couple of days and move more to the northeast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Rose could decay into a tropical depression this evening and degenerate into a remnant low by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Tropical Storm Rose Graphics

2021-09-21 16:50:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 14:50:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 21 Sep 2021 14:50:46 GMT

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Tropical Storm Rose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10

2021-09-21 16:50:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 211450 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM ROSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 1500 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Summary for Tropical Storm Rose (AT2/AL172021)

2021-09-21 16:50:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ROSE GOING THROUGH A ROUGH PATCH... ...BARELY A TROPICAL STORM.... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 21 the center of Rose was located near 21.6, -36.9 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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