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Summary for Tropical Storm DOLORES (EP5/EP052015)
2015-07-12 16:46:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DOLORES EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 the center of DOLORES was located near 15.4, -101.8 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm DOLORES Public Advisory Number 5
2015-07-12 16:46:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 121446 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015 ...DOLORES EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 101.8W ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the southwestern coast of Mexico from Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 48 hours. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 101.8 West. Dolores is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Dolores is forecast to remain offshore and move parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolores is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches along the southwestern coast of Mexico from the state of Oaxaca to Nayarit...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches through Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Dolores are expected to increase near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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Tropical Storm DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 5
2015-07-12 16:45:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 121445 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 1500 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 101.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.1N 103.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.8N 104.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.3N 106.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.8N 107.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N 109.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 110SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.7N 110.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.3N 113.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 101.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Summary for Tropical Storm DOLORES (EP5/EP052015)
2015-07-12 10:33:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WELL SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO... As of 4:00 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 the center of DOLORES was located near 14.6, -101.1 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm DOLORES Public Advisory Number 4
2015-07-12 10:33:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 120833 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WELL SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 101.1W ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system since watches or warnings could be required later today. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 101.1 West. Dolores is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Dolores is forecast to remain well offshore of and move parallel to the southern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Further strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolores is expected to become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along the southwestern coast of Mexico from the state of Oaxaca to Nayarit...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches through Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Dolores are expected to increase near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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