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Remnants of Nine-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2018-07-27 16:31:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Fri Jul 27 2018 557 WTPZ44 KNHC 271431 TCDEP4 Remnants Of Nine-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092018 800 AM PDT Fri Jul 27 2018 Satellite images indicate that the circulation of the depression is no longer closed and instead now resembles an northeast-southwest oriented trough. This system is also well embedded in the Intertropical Convergence Zone, an indication that it is not a discrete cyclone. Therefore, this system does not qualify as a tropical cyclone, and this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center. The initial intensity is lowered to 25 kt, in general agreement with the Dvorak estimates. The remnants of the cyclone are moving westward at 11 kt, and the trough is expected to move into the Central Pacific basin later today. Future information on this system can be found in Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, which can be found on the web at http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/1500Z 10.6N 138.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Remnants of Nine-E (EP4/EP092018)
2018-07-27 16:30:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... As of 8:00 AM PDT Fri Jul 27 the center of Nine-E was located near 10.6, -138.8 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Remnants of Nine-E Public Advisory Number 4
2018-07-27 16:30:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Fri Jul 27 2018 244 WTPZ34 KNHC 271430 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Remnants Of Nine-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092018 800 AM PDT Fri Jul 27 2018 ...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.6N 138.8W ABOUT 1255 MI...2015 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Nine-E were located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 138.8 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). The trough is expected to move into the Central Pacific basin later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Tropical Depression Nine-E. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Remnants of Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2018-07-27 16:30:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 27 2018 243 WTPZ24 KNHC 271430 TCMEP4 REMNANTS OF NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092018 1500 UTC FRI JUL 27 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 138.8W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 138.8W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 138.3W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 138.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Remnants of Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2018-07-27 16:30:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 27 2018 175 FOPZ14 KNHC 271430 PWSEP4 REMNANTS OF NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092018 1500 UTC FRI JUL 27 2018 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF NINE-E WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 140W 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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