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Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten (AT5/AL102017)
2017-08-28 10:55:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DISTURBANCE REMAINING STATIONARY OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST... As of 5:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 the center of Ten was located near 30.3, -81.0 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Forecast Advisory Number 3
2017-08-28 10:55:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2017 000 WTNT25 KNHC 280854 TCMAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017 0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO DUCK * ALBEMARLE SOUND * PAMLICO SOUND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.0W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.0W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 81.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 31.1N 80.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.9N 79.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.0N 76.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 37.5N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.0N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 120SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 240SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 44.0N 51.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 48.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 81.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Public Advisory Number 3
2017-08-28 10:55:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 280854 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017 500 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017 ...DISTURBANCE REMAINING STATIONARY OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 81.0W ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 330 MI...525 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * South Santee River to Duck * Albemarle Sound * Pamlico Sound A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 81.0 West. The system is stationary, and a slow and erratic motion is forecast through this afternoon, followed by a faster northeastward motion tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the system will move near the Georgia and South Carolina coasts today and move along the North Carolina coast tonight and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the system is expected to become a tropical storm by Tuesday morning. The cyclone is forecast to become post-tropical by Tuesday night. Satellite and radar data indicate that the associated showers and thunderstorms show some signs of organization, but the center of circulation is not yet well defined. Only a slight increase in the definition of the circulation would lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area tonight and Tuesday. RAINFALL: The system is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches along the upper South Carolina, North Carolina, and southeast Virginia coasts, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 9 inches. The heavier rains may result in some flooding concerns along coastal areas. SURF: Swells generated by this disturbance will affect portions of the Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina coasts during the next day or two, creating dangerous surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Graphics
2017-08-28 07:48:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 28 Aug 2017 05:48:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 28 Aug 2017 03:32:31 GMT
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Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten (AT5/AL102017)
2017-08-28 07:45:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DISTURBANCE MEANDERING OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST... As of 2:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 the center of Ten was located near 30.3, -81.0 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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