je.st
news
Tag: nicole
Hurricane NICOLE Public Advisory Number 34A
2016-10-12 20:24:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST WED OCT 12 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 121744 TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 200 PM AST WED OCT 12 2016 ...LARGE EYE OF NICOLE MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD BERMUDA... ...CONDITIONS TO BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON BERMUDA THIS EVENING... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.8N 66.8W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the large and distinct eye of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 66.8 West. Nicole is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast and an increase in forward speed is expected tonight. A northeast turn with an additional increase in forward speed is forecast on Thursday. On the forecast track, the core of Hurricane Nicole will pass near or over Bermuda on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours, and Nicole could be near major hurricane strength when it approaches Bermuda. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda Thursday morning, with tropical storm conditions expected to begin this evening. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in Bermuda. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Bermuda through Thursday. SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the next few days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by the Bermuda Weather Service. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda tonight and early Thursday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
public
advisory
nicole
Hurricane NICOLE Graphics
2016-10-12 19:45:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 12 Oct 2016 17:45:31 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 12 Oct 2016 15:04:36 GMT
Tags: graphics
nicole
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane NICOLE Graphics
2016-10-12 17:07:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 12 Oct 2016 14:51:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 12 Oct 2016 15:04:36 GMT
Tags: graphics
nicole
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane NICOLE Forecast Discussion Number 34
2016-10-12 16:45:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST WED OCT 12 2016 000 WTNT45 KNHC 121444 TCDAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 AM AST WED OCT 12 2016 The satellite presentation of the hurricane has changed very little during the past 6 to 12 hours. Nicole remains a very symmetric hurricane with a distinct 30 nmi wide eye. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft flew one alpha pattern through the storm this morning and recorded peak 700-mb flight-level winds of 91 kt, SFMR winds of 79 kt, and a minimum pressure of 969 mb. Since the aircraft only sampled a small portion of the circulation, the initial intensity is set 85 kt, which is a blend of the aircraft data and the most recent subjective Dvorak satellite estimates. The aircraft data indicate that Nicole has grown in size since yesterday, and the initial and forecast wind radii have been adjusted accordingly. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some strengthening while Nicole approaches Bermuda during the next day or so. After that time, increasing southwesterly shear and cooler sea surface temperatures are expected to induce weakening. Nicole is forecast to interact with a frontal boundary in about 72 hours, but it is not clear as to whether Nicole will complete its transformation into an extratropical low by days 4 and 5. For now, the NHC forecast maintains persistence with the previous advisories and predicts Nicole to lose tropical characteristics by 96 h but remain an intense storm system over the north Atlantic. The aircraft and satellite fixes indicate that the hurricane has turned northward, and Nicole should stay on this heading with some increase in forward speed today. The hurricane will become embedded within the mid-latitude flow on Thursday, which should steer Nicole northeastward with an additional increase in forward speed. The NHC forecast is once again very close to the previous advisory, and shows the core of Nicole passing near or over Bermuda between 24 and 36 hours. Later in the period, the cyclone is forecast to slow down and meander over the north Atlantic as it interacts with a large cut-off low well to the southeast of Atlantic Canada. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/1500Z 28.4N 66.9W 85 KT 100 MPH 12H 13/0000Z 29.5N 66.6W 90 KT 105 MPH 24H 13/1200Z 31.5N 65.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 36H 14/0000Z 33.7N 63.1W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 14/1200Z 35.8N 59.7W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 15/1200Z 39.1N 53.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 16/1200Z 39.2N 50.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 120H 17/1200Z 39.2N 50.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
discussion
nicole
forecast
Summary for Hurricane NICOLE (AT5/AL152016)
2016-10-12 16:42:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NICOLE TURNS NORTHWARD... ...CORE OF THE HURRICANE EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA ON THURSDAY... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Oct 12 the center of NICOLE was located near 28.4, -66.9 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 969 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.
Tags: summary
nicole
hurricane
at5al152016
Sites : [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] next »