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Tropical Storm CHANTAL Public Advisory Number 6
2013-07-09 10:37:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTNT33 KNHC 090837 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 500 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 ...CHANTAL JUST EAST OF BARBADOS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 58.4W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM E OF BARBADOS ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM E OF ST. LUCIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM WEST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE * PUERTO RICO * SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * HAITI INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER THIS MORNING...MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND BE NEAR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING...AND REACH PUERTO RICO TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN HAITI BY LATE WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO. A STORM SURGE WILL ALSO RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH
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Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2013-07-09 10:37:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 000 FONT13 KNHC 090837 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 0900 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 2 11 14 11 11 TROP DEPRESSION 2 5 13 30 31 23 22 TROPICAL STORM 92 74 62 52 50 57 54 HURRICANE 7 20 23 7 5 8 13 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 6 18 20 7 5 7 12 HUR CAT 2 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 HUR CAT 3 X X 1 X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50KT 55KT 60KT 40KT 40KT 45KT 50KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MAYPORT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 9(20) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 4(22) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 3(17) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 9(25) 1(26) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) 1(32) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 1(30) 1(31) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 17(17) 33(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 1( 1) 56(57) 7(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) 17(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PONCE 34 X 25(25) 31(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) PONCE 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JUAN 34 X 20(20) 16(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 21(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) SAINT CROIX 34 X 35(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SAINT MAARTEN 34 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 3 16(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BARBUDA 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANTIGUA 34 6 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GUADELOUPE 34 27 8(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) AVES 34 4 85(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) AVES 50 X 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) AVES 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 80 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) DOMINICA 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MARTINIQUE 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) MARTINIQUE 50 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MARTINIQUE 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT LUCIA 34 34 X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) BARBADOS 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH
Tropical Storm CHANTAL Forecast Advisory Number 6
2013-07-09 10:36:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTNT23 KNHC 090836 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 0900 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM WEST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE * PUERTO RICO * SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * HAITI INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 58.4W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 58.4W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 57.3W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.6N 61.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.3N 65.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.2N 69.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.1N 72.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.5N 74.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 26.5N 76.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 28.5N 77.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 58.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH
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Tropical Storm CHANTAL Public Advisory Number 5A
2013-07-09 07:32:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTNT33 KNHC 090532 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 200 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 ...CHANTAL NEARING BARBADOS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 57.2W ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF BARBADOS ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM ESE OF MARTINIQUE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE * PUERTO RICO * SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM NORTH OF CABO ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO * HAITI INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER THIS MORNING...MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND BE NEAR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES... 150 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING...AND REACH PUERTO RICO TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN HAITI BY LATE WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO. A STORM SURGE WILL ALSO RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH
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Tropical Storm CHANTAL Forecast Advisory Number 4
2013-07-08 23:37:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTNT23 KNHC 082137 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 2100 UTC MON JUL 08 2013 CORRECTED TO ADD TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. VINCENT CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE * PUERTO RICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * SOUTHERN COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI INTERESTS IN HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 53.9W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 53.9W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 52.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.0N 57.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.6N 61.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.2N 66.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.8N 69.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.0N 74.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.3N 76.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 26.7N 78.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 53.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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