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Tropical Depression Dolores Public Advisory Number 7A
2021-06-20 02:01:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 200001 CCA TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Dolores Intermediate Advisory Number 7A...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042021 700 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 Corrected header ...DOLORES WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF NAYARIT... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 104.2W ABOUT 83 MI...133 KM NW OF GUADALAJARA MEXICO ABOUT 78 MI...126 KM NE OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All coastal watches and warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Dolores was located inland near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 104.2 West. Dolores is moving toward the north-northwest near 20 mph (32 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Dolores will move farther inland across the Mexican states of Nayarit, Jalisco, and Durango. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional rapid weakening is forecast, and Dolores is expected to dissipate over west-central Mexico by Sunday. Surface observations indicate that the minimum central pressure has risen to 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Dolores can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Wind gusts to near tropical storm force will likely continue over coastal sections of west-central Mexico to the south of Puerto Vallarta through this evening. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Dolores will produce heavy rainfall of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and southern Sinaloa through the weekend. This will likely produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Dolores will affect portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Depression Dolores Graphics
2021-06-20 01:46:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 23:46:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 21:28:26 GMT
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Tropical Depression Claudette Graphics
2021-06-20 01:46:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 23:46:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 21:22:41 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Claudette (AT3/AL032021)
2021-06-20 01:45:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF CLAUDETTE NOW MOVING INTO WESTERN ALABAMA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S... As of 7:00 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 the center of Claudette was located near 32.4, -87.7 with movement NE at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Claudette Public Advisory Number 9A
2021-06-20 01:45:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 192345 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Claudette Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021 700 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 ...CENTER OF CLAUDETTE NOW MOVING INTO WESTERN ALABAMA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.4N 87.7W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NNE OF MOBILE ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cape Fear to Duck, North Carolina * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 to 48 hours. Interests elsewhere across the southeast U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Claudette was located near latitude 32.4 North, longitude 87.7 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast is expected tonight and Sunday. On the forecast track, the system should move farther inland across portions of the southeast U.S. through Sunday night, and over the western Atlantic Ocean on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring mainly over water well to the south of the center. Claudette is expected to weaken a little tonight, however, it is forecast to become a tropical storm again when it moves across the Carolinas Sunday night or early Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Claudette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Claudette is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches across eastern Alabama, northern Georgia, the Florida Panhandle, and South and North Carolina. Flash, urban and small stream flooding impacts as well as new and renewed minor to isolated moderate river flooding are likely across these areas. The storm total rainfall is expected to be 5 to 10 inches with isolated 15 inch totals in southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Cape Lookout, NC to NC/VA Border...1-3 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area Sunday night and Monday. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across southeast Alabama, the western Florida Panhandle, and southwest Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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