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Summary for Tropical Storm Josephine (AT1/AL112020)
2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JOSEPHINE HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Aug 13 the center of Josephine was located near 14.8, -52.2 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102020)
2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED... ...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST... As of 8:00 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 the center of Ten-E was located near 14.2, -131.0 with movement W at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 10
2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Aug 13 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 140234 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 1100 PM AST Thu Aug 13 2020 ...JOSEPHINE HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 52.2W ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 52.2 West. Josephine is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early next week. On the forecast track the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected through Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Storm Josephine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 140234 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112020 0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SABA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 4
2020-08-14 04:34:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 140234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102020 800 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 ...DEPRESSION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED... ...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 131.0W ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 131.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow west-southwestward motion is forecast to begin later tonight or on Friday. The system is forecast to drift northwestward over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast during the next day or two. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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