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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 3
2020-08-13 22:34:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 132034 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102020 200 PM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 130.6W ABOUT 1495 MI...2400 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 130.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general heading with a decrease in forward speed is expected through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast, but the depression could become a tropical storm at any time during the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-08-13 22:34:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 13 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 132034 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 2100 UTC THU AUG 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.6W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.6W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.8N 131.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.7N 132.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 13.4N 133.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.4N 133.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.6N 134.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.9N 134.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 14.3N 134.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N 135.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 130.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-13 19:56:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
422 ABPZ20 KNHC 131756 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1450 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A surface trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the southwestern coast of Mexico. Even though this system has been slow to organize, environmental conditions are still conducive for development before it reaches cooler waters over the weekend, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the west-central coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A trough of low pressure is located just offshore the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low to develop from this trough over the next few days, and and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-13 19:48:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131748 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Josephine, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. A low pressure area over eastern North Carolina is expected to move east-northeastward across the north Atlantic well to the south of New England and the Canadian Maritime provinces for the next several days. This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics during the next two to three days while it moves over warm sea surface temperatures. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Josephine Graphics
2020-08-13 16:55:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 14:55:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 15:24:22 GMT
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