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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 2

2020-08-13 16:52:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 13 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 131452 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 1500 UTC THU AUG 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 129.8W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 129.8W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 129.5W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 13.8N 130.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.9N 131.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.8N 132.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.8N 133.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.9N 134.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.1N 134.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 14.7N 135.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.9N 136.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 129.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-13 13:52:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131152 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, associated with a trough of low pressure, extends several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters later this weekend. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A trough of low pressure has developed just offshore the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low to develop from this trough over the next few days, and and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-13 13:51:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131151 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected for the next five days. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics

2020-08-13 10:40:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 08:40:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 09:31:41 GMT

Tags: graphics tropical depression tropical depression

 

Tropical Depression Eleven Graphics

2020-08-13 10:40:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 08:40:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2020 09:24:45 GMT

Tags: graphics tropical depression eleven

 

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