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Tropical Depression Ten Public Advisory Number 8

2021-08-30 04:36:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Aug 29 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 300236 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102021 1100 PM AST Sun Aug 29 2021 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BLASTED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 50.6W ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM ENE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 50.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A general northward motion is forecast to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Slow strengthening is forecast to begin by midweek. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Latto

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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Advisory Number 8

2021-08-30 04:36:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 300236 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 50.6W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 50.6W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 50.6W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.1N 50.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.4N 50.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 23.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 24.5N 50.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.6N 51.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N 51.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 53.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 34.0N 53.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 50.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO

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Summary for Tropical Storm Nora (EP4/EP142021)

2021-08-30 01:46:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HEAVY RAINS WITH THE RISK OF FLOODING CONTINUES NEAR NORA ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... As of 6:00 PM MDT Sun Aug 29 the center of Nora was located near 24.5, -107.7 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm Nora Public Advisory Number 17A

2021-08-30 01:46:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 600 PM MDT Sun Aug 29 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 292346 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 17A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142021 600 PM MDT Sun Aug 29 2021 ...HEAVY RAINS WITH THE RISK OF FLOODING CONTINUES NEAR NORA ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 107.7W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM NW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Mazatlan to Topolobampo Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Topolobampo to Huatabampito Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected or occurring somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. Interests elsewhere along the coast of Sonora should monitor the progress of Nora. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nora was located along the coast of Mexico, near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 107.7 West. Nora is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected to begin tonight and continue through early this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. At least gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days as the center moves roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico. However, rapid weakening will likely occur if the center moves inland sooner than forecast. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nora can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are ongoing in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area in mainland Mexico. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area on Monday. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall is likely along the west coast of Mexico from Jalisco to Sonora through late week as Nora lifts northward through the Gulf of California. Rainfall of 8 to 12 inches with maximum amounts of 20 inches is possible. This rainfall will produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches is possible in Baja California Sur. Toward the middle and latter part of the week, moisture associated with Nora is likely to bring heavy rainfall and the potential for scattered flash flooding to portions of the southwestern U.S. and central Rockies. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds within the tropical storm warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. SURF: Swells generated by Nora are affecting the southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward into the Gulf of California through Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky

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Tropical Storm Nora Graphics

2021-08-30 01:46:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Aug 2021 23:46:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Aug 2021 21:40:29 GMT

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