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Tropical Storm JULIA Forecast Advisory Number 2

2016-09-14 10:46:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 14 2016 000 WTNT21 KNHC 140845 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 0900 UTC WED SEP 14 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FERNANDINA BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 81.8W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 81.8W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 81.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.6N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.9N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.1N 81.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.2N 81.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 81.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm JULIA Graphics

2016-09-14 07:53:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 14 Sep 2016 05:53:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 14 Sep 2016 03:08:07 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm JULIA (AT1/AL112016)

2016-09-14 07:51:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...RAINS FROM JULIA CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS... As of 2:00 AM EDT Wed Sep 14 the center of JULIA was located near 30.5, -81.8 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm JULIA Public Advisory Number 1A

2016-09-14 07:51:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2016 000 WTNT31 KNHC 140551 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 200 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2016 ...RAINS FROM JULIA CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 81.8W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSW OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ponte Vedra Beach to Altamaha Sound For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was located near latitude 30.5 North, longitude 81.8 West. Julia is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue overnight with a reduction in forward speed later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected overnight. Julia is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by late Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly over water to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds are already occuring within portions of the tropical storm warning area. RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain near the northeast Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina coastlines through Friday afternoon. Isolated totals of 10 inches are possible. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Flooding may be further compounded with persistent strong onshore flow reducing river and stream discharges. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two will be possible through this morning across parts of northeastern Florida and southeastern Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown/Cangialosi

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