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Tropical Storm COLIN Public Advisory Number 6
2016-06-06 22:48:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 062048 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 400 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016 ...HEAVY RAINS FROM COLIN SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF FLORIDA... SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.8N 85.5W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM WNW OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northeastward to Oregon Inlet North Carolina. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Indian Pass to Englewood * Sebastian Inlet Florida to Oregon Inlet North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 85.5 West. Colin is moving toward the north-northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h). A northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday. On this track, the center of Colin is forecast to move onshore of the Florida Big Bend area this evening, then move across northern Florida and southeastern Georgia through early Tuesday morning, and move near or over the southeastern coast of the United States Tuesday. However, it's important to note that the strongest winds and heaviest rains are well removed from the center. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) to the southeast of the center. A NOAA coastal marine observing site at Venice, Florida recently reported sustained winds of 44 mph (70 km/h) with a gust to 60 mph (96 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across the northeastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, northern Florida, southeastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas through Tuesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts possible in a few locations. Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft. Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the Atlantic coast from Florida to North Carolina within the tropical storm warning area. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Brief squalls with winds to near tropical storm force will be moving through portions of South Florida through this evening. Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the warning area along the west coast of the Florida peninsula through the evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the warning area along the Atlantic coast by overnight tonight. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across portions of Florida and far southern Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm COLIN Forecast Advisory Number 6
2016-06-06 22:48:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 06 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 062047 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 2100 UTC MON JUN 06 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHEASTWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INDIAN PASS TO ENGLEWOOD * SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 85.5W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 85.5W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 86.2W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.7N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 35.2N 75.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 240SE 90SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 39.4N 66.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 210SE 180SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 43.0N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 210SE 180SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 48.5N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 270SE 240SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 53.0N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 56.5N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 85.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm COLIN Graphics
2016-06-06 19:53:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 06 Jun 2016 17:53:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 06 Jun 2016 15:03:35 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm COLIN (AT3/AL032016)
2016-06-06 19:52:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... As of 1:00 PM CDT Mon Jun 6 the center of COLIN was located near 27.7, -86.5 with movement NNE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm COLIN Public Advisory Number 5A
2016-06-06 19:52:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 061751 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 100 PM CDT MON JUN 06 2016 ...BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.7N 86.5W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Indian Pass to Englewood * Sebastian Inlet Florida to South Santee River South Carolina Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of Colin. Additional warnings or watches may be required for parts of this area later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was estimated near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 86.5 West. Colin is moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected by this evening, and a rapid northeastward motion is expected overnight and Tuesday. On this track, the center of Colin is forecast to approach the coast of the Florida Big Bend area late this afternoon or evening, move across portions of Florida and southeastern Georgia early Tuesday morning, and move near the southeastern coast of the United States later on Tuesday. However, it's important to note that the strongest winds and heaviest rains are well removed from the center. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts in rainbands located well to the east and southeast of the center. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 250 miles (400 km) to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across the northeastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, western to northern Florida, southeastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas through Tuesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts possible in a few locations. Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft. Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the Atlantic coast from Florida to South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Brief squalls with winds to near tropical storm force will be moving through portions of the Florida Keys this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions reached the west coast of the Florida peninsula this morning, and will continue through this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the warning area along the Atlantic coast by early Tuesday. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across portions of Florida and far southern Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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