je.st
news
Tag: colin
Tropical Storm COLIN Public Advisory Number 7
2016-06-07 04:37:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 070236 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 06 2016 ...COLIN ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 83.8W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM E OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Indian Pass to Englewood * Sebastian Inlet Florida to Oregon Inlet North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 83.8 West. Colin is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h). A continued northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Colin will move onshore in the Florida Big Bend area shortly, then move across northern Florida and southeastern Georgia through early Tuesday morning, and move near or over the southeastern coast of the United States Tuesday. However, it's important to note that the strongest winds and heaviest rains are well removed from the center. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast after Colin moves into the Atlantic on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches across western to northern Florida, southeast Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas through Tuesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts possible in a few locations. Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft. Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the Atlantic coast from Florida to North Carolina within the tropical storm warning area. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the warning area along the west coast of the Florida peninsula for the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions have likely begun over portions of the warning area along the Atlantic coast of Florida, and these conditions will spread northward and northeastward over the remainder of the warning area overnight and on Tuesday. TORNADOES: A tornado or two will remain possible across parts of central and northeast Florida early tonight, and perhaps near coastal areas of Georgia and the Carolinas overnight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm COLIN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2016-06-07 04:37:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 000 FONT13 KNHC 070236 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) X(37) X(37) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 21(36) X(36) X(36) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 29(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 41(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 1 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NEW RIVER NC 34 1 41(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 35(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 1 25(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) SURF CITY NC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 2 22(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BALD HEAD ISL 34 6 35(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FLORENCE SC 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 7 17(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) MYRTLE BEACH 34 10 16(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GEORGETOWN SC 34 18 12(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) CHARLESTON SC 34 27 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) KINGS BAY GA 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) KINGS BAY GA 50 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) WAYCROSS GA 34 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MAYPORT NS FL 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) MAYPORT NS FL 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) JACKSONVILLE 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 34 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) THE VILLAGES 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) ORLANDO FL 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) COCOA BEACH FL 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) PATRICK AFB 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) FT PIERCE FL 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) VENICE FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Storm COLIN Forecast Advisory Number 7
2016-06-07 04:36:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 070236 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 0300 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INDIAN PASS TO ENGLEWOOD * SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 83.8W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 83.8W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 84.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 32.9N 79.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 0NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.5N 71.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 200SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N 62.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 45.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 200SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 49.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 240SE 210SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 54.0N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 56.0N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 83.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm COLIN Graphics
2016-06-07 01:48:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 06 Jun 2016 23:48:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 06 Jun 2016 21:04:34 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
colin
Summary for Tropical Storm COLIN (AT3/AL032016)
2016-06-07 01:46:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...COLIN NEARING THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA... As of 7:00 PM CDT Mon Jun 6 the center of COLIN was located near 29.3, -84.7 with movement NE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
colin
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] next »