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Hurricane GONZALO Public Advisory Number 29
2014-10-19 16:32:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014 000 WTNT33 KNHC 191432 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1100 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014 ...GONZALO REMAINS A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...49.0N 47.3W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM ENE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 49.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND SOME OIL RIGS HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF GONZALO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING...WITH CONDITIONS SUBSIDING THIS AFTERNOON. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Hurricane GONZALO Forecast Advisory Number 29
2014-10-19 16:31:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014 000 WTNT23 KNHC 191431 TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1500 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N 47.3W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 45 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 100SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT.......120NE 160SE 90SW 40NW. 34 KT.......180NE 270SE 180SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 240SE 540SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.0N 47.3W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.8N 50.1W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 140SE 180SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 300SE 360SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.5N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 300SE 300SW 280NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N 6.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 160SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 360SE 480SW 420NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 62.1N 2.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 320SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 540SW 420NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.0N 47.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Hurricane GONZALO Graphics
2014-10-19 13:51:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 19 Oct 2014 11:51:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 19 Oct 2014 09:04:45 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane GONZALO (AT3/AL082014)
2014-10-19 13:40:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GONZALO STILL A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY... As of 8:00 AM AST Sun Oct 19 the center of GONZALO was located near 47.6, -50.1 with movement NE at 52 mph. The minimum central pressure was 969 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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Hurricane GONZALO Public Advisory Number 28A
2014-10-19 13:40:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014 000 WTNT33 KNHC 191140 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 800 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014 ...GONZALO STILL A HURRICANE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...47.6N 50.1W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR... * ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. GONZALO WILL MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING AND THEN RACE ACROSS THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...500 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST HOUR...CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 41 MPH...67 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 55 MPH...89 KM/H. ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. SURF...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS THREAT... PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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