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Summary for Remnants of FAUSTO (EP1/EP062014)
2014-07-09 16:44:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...FAUSTO DISSIPATES... As of 8:00 AM PDT Wed Jul 9 the center of FAUSTO was located near 11.7, -129.5 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Remnants of FAUSTO Public Advisory Number 8
2014-07-09 16:44:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT WED JUL 09 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 091444 TCPEP1 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 800 AM PDT WED JUL 09 2014 ...FAUSTO DISSIPATES... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.7N 129.5W ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF FAUSTO WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.5 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FAUSTO SHOULD DECREASE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Remnants of FAUSTO Forecast Advisory Number 8
2014-07-09 16:44:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 09 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 091444 TCMEP1 REMNANTS OF FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 1500 UTC WED JUL 09 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 129.5W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 129.5W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 128.7W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 129.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression FAUSTO Graphics
2014-07-09 11:08:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Jul 2014 08:40:47 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Jul 2014 09:04:46 GMT
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Tropical Depression FAUSTO Forecast Discussion Number 7
2014-07-09 10:40:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT WED JUL 09 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 090840 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014 200 AM PDT WED JUL 09 2014 Fausto has continued to lose organization overnight. The deep convection associated with the tropical cyclone has become disorganized and appears to be separated from the center that was tracked in the last few visible satellite images. Recent ASCAT data suggest that the circulation has become elongated from northeast to southwest and that it has possibly become an open trough of low pressure. The highest believable winds from the ASCAT passes were 25 to 30 kt to the northeast of the alleged center. Based on these data, the initial intensity is reduced to 30 kt. Despite being located in a low shear environment and over warm water, Fausto has likely weakened during the past 24 hours due to the entrainment of dry mid-level air. Although Fausto is forecast to remain over warm water and in low shear for another 24 hours, poor thermodynamic factors should prevent restrengthening. After that time, westerly shear is forecast to increase which should cause the final demise of Fausto, if it does not occur sooner. One very possible scenario is for the circulation to dissipate and become an open trough within the next 24 hours. This solution is generally favored by the GFS and ECMWF models. The somewhat uncertain initial motion estimate is 285 degrees at 16 kt. Fausto should continue moving west-northwestward to westward during the next several days to the south of a strong low- to mid-level ridge. The track guidance agrees on this scenario but has shifted southward this cycle. Since the updated NHC intensity forecast predicts a weaker and shallower system, it is more likely that Fausto or its remnants will move more westward. As a result, the NHC track has been adjusted southward. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0900Z 11.4N 128.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 09/1800Z 11.9N 130.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 10/0600Z 12.5N 134.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 10/1800Z 13.0N 137.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 11/0600Z 13.5N 140.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 12/0600Z 14.5N 145.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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