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Tropical Storm Lidia Forecast Advisory Number 15

2017-09-02 10:52:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 020852 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 0900 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...SOUTH OF LORETO...AND SOUTH OF GUAYMAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO ISLA SAN LUIS * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO LIBERTAD INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LIDIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 113.6W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 113.6W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 28.3N 114.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 29.6N 116.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 30.8N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.9N 120.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.1N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 113.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm Lidia Graphics

2017-09-02 07:40:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 02 Sep 2017 05:40:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 02 Sep 2017 03:34:30 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Lidia (EP4/EP142017)

2017-09-02 07:38:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HEAVY RAINS FALLING IN THE DESERT OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... As of 12:00 AM MDT Sat Sep 2 the center of Lidia was located near 26.8, -113.3 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm Lidia Public Advisory Number 14A

2017-09-02 07:38:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1200 AM MDT Sat Sep 02 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 020538 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lidia Intermediate Advisory Number 14A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142017 1200 AM MDT Sat Sep 02 2017 ...HEAVY RAINS FALLING IN THE DESERT OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.8N 113.3W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WSW OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM ESE OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The west coast of the Baja California peninsula from San Jose de Las Palomas to Puerto Cortes * The east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Isla San Luis to San Evaristo * Mainland Mexico from Huatabampito to Puerto Libertad Interests elsewhere in northwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Lidia. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located near latitude 26.8 North, longitude 113.3 West. Lidia is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia will move near or along the west coast of the Baja California peninsula for the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Lidia is expected to become a remnant low Saturday night or on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) mainly to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Lidia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Mexican states of Baja California Sur into Baja California and the coastal section of Sonora and northern Sinaloa, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. These rains may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Some of the tropical moisture from Lidia will spread across parts of the desert Southwest this holiday weekend for an increase in scattered showers and thunderstorms, from southern Nevada and western Arizona into southern California. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of the warning area in the Mexican states of Baja California Sur, Baja California, and Sonora. These conditions should spread northward across the remainder of the warning areas through Saturday. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds along the Baja California peninsula. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. SURF: Swells generated by Lidia are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern and western Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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