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Tropical Storm Lidia Forecast Advisory Number 12

2017-09-01 16:49:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 011448 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS TO ISLA SAN LUIS * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO PUERTO LIBERTAD A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LIDIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 111.2W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT.......170NE 130SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 90SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 111.2W AT 01/1500Z...INLAND AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.8N 112.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.4N 113.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.6N 115.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 29.9N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.5N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 111.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm Lidia Graphics

2017-09-01 13:43:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 01 Sep 2017 11:43:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 01 Sep 2017 09:33:37 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Lidia (EP4/EP142017)

2017-09-01 13:38:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...CENTER OF LIDIA MOVING ONSHORE INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... As of 6:00 AM MDT Fri Sep 1 the center of Lidia was located near 24.1, -111.1 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm Lidia Public Advisory Number 11A

2017-09-01 13:38:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 600 AM MDT Fri Sep 01 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 011138 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lidia Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142017 600 AM MDT Fri Sep 01 2017 ...CENTER OF LIDIA MOVING ONSHORE INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 111.1W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM W OF LA PAZ MEXICO ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula from San Jose de Las Palomas to Isla San Luis * Mainland Mexico from Altata to Puerto Libertad A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in western Mexico and the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Lidia. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located near latitude 24.1 North, longitude 111.1 West. Lidia is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through Saturday night. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia will move near or along the west coast of the Baja California peninsula through Saturday and then move west of the peninsula over the Pacific waters Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days while Lidia interacts with the mountainous terrain of the Baja California peninsula. Lidia is expected to become a remnant low by Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km), especially to the northeast and southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Lidia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches across the Mexican states of Baja California Sur into Baja California, Sinaloa, and the coastal section of Sonora, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. These rains may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Some of the tropical moisture from Lidia may reach parts of the Desert Southwest this holiday weekend, including southern California, southern Nevada, and southwestern Arizona. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over the southern portion of Baja California Sur at this time. These conditions should spread northward across the warning areas of the Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico through Saturday. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds on the southern portion of Baja California Sur. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Lidia are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern and western Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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