je.st
news
Tag: amanda
Tropical Storm AMANDA Forecast Advisory Number 22
2014-05-28 04:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED MAY 28 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 280231 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 0300 UTC WED MAY 28 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 112.9W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 112.9W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 112.9W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.0N 112.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.8N 112.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.5N 111.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.1N 111.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 16.8N 111.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 10 KT...GUSTS 15 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.5N 111.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 5 KT...GUSTS 10 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 112.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm AMANDA (EP1/EP012014)
2014-05-28 04:31:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...AMANDA RAPIDLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... As of 8:00 PM PDT Tue May 27 the center of AMANDA was located near 14.6, -112.9 with movement NW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
amanda
Tropical Storm AMANDA Public Advisory Number 22
2014-05-28 04:31:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT TUE MAY 27 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 280231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 800 PM PDT TUE MAY 27 2014 ...AMANDA RAPIDLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 112.9W ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.9 WEST. AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A CONTINUED SLOW FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY... FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE RAPIDLY DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY...AND AMANDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Hurricane AMANDA Graphics
2014-05-27 23:07:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 27 May 2014 20:36:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 27 May 2014 21:03:46 GMT
Tags: graphics
amanda
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane AMANDA Forecast Discussion Number 21
2014-05-27 22:36:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT TUE MAY 27 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 272035 TCDEP1 HURRICANE AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 200 PM PDT TUE MAY 27 2014 Amanda's cloud pattern has deteriorated in organization today. Although the cyclone is producing some very intense convection, the thunderstorms are not particularly well organized, and there is little evidence of banding features. The current intensity estimate is set at 90 kt in agreement with the latest Dvorak estimate from NESDIS SAB - however, this may be generous. The weakening of the hurricane may be partially due to its slow movement, and the resultant upwelling of cooler ocean waters. Although the vertical shear is predicted to diminish over the next day or two, drier air and lower sea surface temperatures are likely to induce continued weakening. The official wind speed forecast is very close to the latest Decay-SHIPS and intensity model consensus guidance. The hurricane continues to plod north-northwestward at 4 kt between a weak mid-level ridge to its northeast and a weak trough to its northwest. Steering currents are forecast to remain weak for the next several days, but most of the track models show the tropical cyclone turning northward and then northeastward over the next couple of days into a slight weakness in the ridge over northwestern Mexico. Late in the forecast period, a northeast- southwest oriented ridge extending across the Baja California peninsula should cause Amanda to turn southwestward. The official track forecast is only slightly west of the previous one and close to the latest dynamical model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 15.0N 112.6W 90 KT 105 MPH 12H 28/0600Z 15.6N 112.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 28/1800Z 16.4N 112.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 29/0600Z 17.3N 111.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 29/1800Z 18.0N 110.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 30/1800Z 18.0N 111.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 31/1800Z 17.5N 111.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 120H 01/1800Z 17.0N 112.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
amanda
Sites : [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] next »