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Hurricane Nora Public Advisory Number 11

2021-08-28 10:59:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 400 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 280859 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142021 400 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 ...NORA INTENSIFIES INTO A HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO THE COASTLINE OF MAINLAND MEXICO LATER TODAY INTO TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 105.2W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico. The government of Mexico has also issued a Hurricane Watch from north of San Blas to Mazatlan Mexico, and has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Manzanillo northward to San Blas Mexico A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * South of Manzanillo Mexico to Lazaro Cardenas * North of San Blas to Mazatlan Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo Mexico * North of San Blas to Mazatlan Mexico A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12-24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12-24 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case over the next 24-36 hours. Interests elsewhere further along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Nora. Additional watches and warnings may be required for portions of these areas tonight or on Saturday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nora was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 105.2 West. Nora is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through the weekend. A slight bend to the northwest is forecast by early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Nora is expected to approach the southwestern coast of Mexico later today and pass very near the coast of the states of Jalisco and Nayarit by tonight. Nora is then forecast to approach and move into the Gulf of California on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts, making Nora a Category 1 Hurricane. Additional short-term intensification is anticipated as long as Nora remains offshore the coast of Mexico. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nora can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area along the coast of mainland Mexico beginning later today. Hurricane conditions are also possible within the hurricane watch area later today and may spread tot he norther portions of the watch area tomorrow. Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring over southern portions of the tropical storm warning area and will spread to the northern portions of the warning area later today and tomorrow. RAINFALL: Heavy rain associated with Nora is expected across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches are forecast through this weekend with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. This rainfall will produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. As Nora continues north-northwest, heavy rainfall will move into the Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are forecast, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across southern portions of Baja California Sur. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur as a result. Additional heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches are possible across Sinaloa and Sonora during the middle to latter part of next week as Nora moves northwest through the Gulf of California. Toward the middle and latter part of next week, moisture associated with Nora may bring heavy rainfall to portions of the southwestern U.S. into the central Great Basin and central Rockies. SURF: Swells generated by Nora are affecting the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the coast of Baja California Sur and into the Gulf of California over the weekend and into early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

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Hurricane Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2021-08-28 10:59:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 280859 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 14(26) 14(40) 3(43) X(43) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 16(30) 16(46) 3(49) X(49) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) 1(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 20(24) 7(31) 1(32) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 13(20) 6(26) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 12(28) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) 6(23) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 6(28) 2(30) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 12(31) 1(32) X(32) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 16 68(84) 10(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) ISLAS MARIAS 50 1 33(34) 30(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 7( 7) 25(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MAZATLAN 34 3 19(22) 43(65) 8(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) MAZATLAN 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN BLAS 34 5 70(75) 7(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) SAN BLAS 50 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAN BLAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P VALLARTA 34 59 37(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) P VALLARTA 50 X 30(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) P VALLARTA 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 18 13(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) MANZANILLO 50 19 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) L CARDENAS 34 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ZIHUATANEJO 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BEVEN

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Hurricane Nora Forecast Advisory Number 11

2021-08-28 10:58:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 280858 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO...AND HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO SAN BLAS MEXICO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO * NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO * NORTH SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FURTHER UP ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.2W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.2W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 105.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N 105.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.8N 106.1W...NEAR MAINLAND MEXICO MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.4N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N 107.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.1N 108.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 24.9N 109.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 26.4N 110.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 28.7N 111.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 105.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 28/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BEVEN

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Summary for Tropical Storm Nora (EP4/EP142021)

2021-08-28 07:54:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...NORA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... ...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO... As of 1:00 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 the center of Nora was located near 16.7, -105.0 with movement NNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm Nora Public Advisory Number 10A

2021-08-28 07:54:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 280554 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142021 100 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 ...NORA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... ...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.7N 105.0W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning from Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to south of Manzanillo Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo Mexico * North of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of San Blas to Mazatlan Mexico A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case over the next 24-36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Nora. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of these areas tonight or on Saturday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nora was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 105.0 West. Nora is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A motion toward the northwest or north-northwest is expected through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Nora is expected to approach the southwestern coast of Mexico later today and pass very near the coast of the states of Jalisco and Nayarit by later tonight. Nora is then forecast to approach and move into the Gulf of California on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Nora is expected to become a hurricane later today. Nora is a large tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km)from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nora can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area along the coast of mainland Mexico beginning later today. Hurricane conditions are also possible within the hurricane watch area later today. Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring over southern portions of the tropical storm warning area and will spread to the northern portions of the warning area later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area tonight and Sunday. RAINFALL: Heavy rain associated with Nora is expected across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches are forecast through this weekend with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. This rainfall will produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. As Nora continues northwest or north-northwest, heavy rainfall will move into the Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are forecast, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches possible across southern portions of Baja California Sur. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur as a result. Toward the middle and latter part of next week, moisture associated with Nora may bring heavy rainfall to portions of the southwestern U.S. into the central Great Basin and central Rockies. SURF: Swells generated by Nora are affecting the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the coast of Baja California Sur and into the Gulf of California over the weekend and into early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

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