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Tropical Depression Omar Public Advisory Number 17

2020-09-04 22:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 042032 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Omar Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 ...OMAR HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.3N 57.3W ABOUT 475 MI...770 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Omar was located near latitude 35.3 North, longitude 57.3 West. The depression is moving toward the east near 6 mph (9 km/h). A north-northeastward motion is expected to begin by tonight and should continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Omar is forecast to become a remnant low tonight or early Saturday and dissipate by Saturday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Advisory Number 17

2020-09-04 22:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 042032 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 2100 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 57.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 57.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 57.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 36.2N 57.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.0N 56.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N 57.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-04 19:40:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041740 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 4 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A well-defined surface low has formed near the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Although most of the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is displaced well to the west of the low, a few showers and thunderstorms have recently developed near the center. Conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for further development during the next couple of days, but only a small increase in thunderstorm activity could result in the formation of a tropical depression. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward, near or along the southern coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-04 19:27:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041726 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Omar, located about 500 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the north-central Atlantic about 500 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. This low is moving north-northeastward toward cooler waters, and development as a subtropical or tropical cyclone is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A nearly stationary broad area of low pressure is located over the east-central tropical Atlantic about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and some development is possible during the next couple of days before it merges or interacts with a large tropical wave located to its east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave and area of low pressure located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected as it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Gradual development of this system is then expected, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Depression Omar Graphics

2020-09-04 16:43:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2020 14:43:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2020 15:24:37 GMT

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