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Tropical Depression Eleven Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2021-08-29 04:48:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 407 FONT11 KNHC 290248 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112021 0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Summary for Tropical Depression Eleven (AT1/AL112021)
2021-08-29 04:48:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SUBTROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM... As of 11:00 PM AST Sat Aug 28 the center of Eleven was located near 33.0, -49.7 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Eleven Public Advisory Number 1
2021-08-29 04:48:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Aug 28 2021 981 WTNT31 KNHC 290247 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112021 1100 PM AST Sat Aug 28 2021 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SUBTROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.0N 49.7W ABOUT 1320 MI...2120 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven was located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 49.7 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected through Sunday, and the depression is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm later tonight or tomorrow. The system is then forecast to become extratropical by Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Depression Eleven Forecast Advisory Number 1
2021-08-29 04:47:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 460 WTNT21 KNHC 290247 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112021 0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 49.7W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 49.7W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 50.1W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.6N 47.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 36.8N 43.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 50SW 10NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 39.5N 39.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 30SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 43.4N 36.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 47.9N 36.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 40SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 49.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Depression Ten Graphics
2021-08-29 04:36:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Aug 2021 02:36:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Aug 2021 03:28:59 GMT
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