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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten (AT5/AL102021)
2021-08-28 22:34:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION STILL STRUGGLING WHILE MOVING NORTHWARD... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Aug 28 the center of Ten was located near 15.6, -50.0 with movement N at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Ten Public Advisory Number 3
2021-08-28 22:34:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Aug 28 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 282034 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102021 500 PM AST Sat Aug 28 2021 ...DEPRESSION STILL STRUGGLING WHILE MOVING NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 50.0W ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 50.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue during the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Advisory Number 3
2021-08-28 22:34:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 282034 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 2100 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 50.0W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 50.0W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 50.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.6N 50.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N 49.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.8N 49.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.3N 49.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.5N 48.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 23.8N 49.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 27.2N 50.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 50.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-28 19:49:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 28 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Nora, a little over 100 miles south of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-28 19:45:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 281745 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Aug 28 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ida, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Ten, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located over the central Atlantic. In addition, satellite wind data indicate that the circulation has become a little better defined. Although environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive for further development, only a slight increase in organization would result in the formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight. In a couple of days, the system is forecast to be absorbed by a frontal system. The disturbance is expected to drift eastward through today, then accelerate northeastward Sunday toward the central north Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of west Africa by the middle of next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for gradual development toward the end of next week as the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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