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Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 12

2018-07-08 10:52:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 08 2018 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080852 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022018 0900 UTC SUN JUL 08 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. LUCIA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * GUADELOUPE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * MARTINIQUE... ST. MARTIN... AND ST. BARTHELEMY * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BERYL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 56.0W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 56.0W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 55.1W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.7N 58.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.9N 62.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N 66.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 56.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm Beryl Graphics

2018-07-08 07:41:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 08 Jul 2018 05:41:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 08 Jul 2018 03:26:01 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Beryl (AT2/AL022018)

2018-07-08 07:41:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BERYL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... As of 2:00 AM AST Sun Jul 8 the center of Beryl was located near 13.4, -55.1 with movement WNW at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 11A

2018-07-08 07:41:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM AST Sun Jul 08 2018 000 WTNT32 KNHC 080541 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022018 200 AM AST Sun Jul 08 2018 ...BERYL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 55.1W ABOUT 435 MI...705 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominica * Guadeloupe A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Barbados * St. Lucia * Martinique, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of Beryl. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 55.1 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will approach the Lesser Antilles today, cross the island chain tonight, and move south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Beryl is likely to weaken to a tropical depression after moving across the Lesser Antilles. The system is then expected to degenerate into a tropical wave as it moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in Dominica and Guadeloupe Sunday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas of the Lesser Antilles by later today or Monday. RAINFALL: Beryl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches through Monday across the southern Leeward and northern Windward Islands. Across Puerto Rico, rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches are expected. Across the remainder of the Leeward and Windward Islands and the Virgin Islands, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

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